Đánh giá hệ số lây nhiễm theo thời gian thực của Sởi

Author

HCDC - OUCRU

Published

October 15, 2024

1 Đánh giá Rt năm 2024

1.1 Bản đồ

Reading layer `ADM_ADM_2' from data source 
  `C:\Users\Admin\Desktop\measles\data\gadm41_VNM.gpkg' using driver `GPKG'
Simple feature collection with 710 features and 13 fields
Geometry type: MULTIPOLYGON
Dimension:     XY
Bounding box:  xmin: 102.1446 ymin: 8.381355 xmax: 109.4692 ymax: 23.39269
Geodetic CRS:  WGS 84
Figure 1.1: Bản đồ xu hướng lây nhiễm
Figure 1.2: Bản đồ xu hướng lây nhiễm

1.2 Thành phố

Figure 1.3: Diễn tiến Rt của Thành phố
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-29 0.9705322 0.9023516 1.041161 0.2015987
2024-12-28 1.0736997 1.0015016 1.148375 0.9773558
2024-12-27 1.1284669 1.0539556 1.205487 0.9997162
2024-12-26 1.1150035 1.0404727 1.192076 0.9989314
2024-12-25 1.1009806 1.0264558 1.178080 0.9963509
2024-12-24 1.1111936 1.0358403 1.189155 0.9983139
2024-12-23 1.1176401 1.0415713 1.196352 0.9989600
2024-12-22 1.1235255 1.0467258 1.203005 0.9993305
2024-12-21 1.1581361 1.0795517 1.239442 0.9999751
2024-12-20 1.1927119 1.1122700 1.275922 0.9999995
2024-12-19 1.1948028 1.1135319 1.278895 0.9999995
2024-12-18 1.2429598 1.1591794 1.329622 1.0000000
2024-12-17 1.2651838 1.1796996 1.353616 1.0000000
2024-12-16 1.2494919 1.1635482 1.338454 1.0000000
2024-12-15 1.2854639 1.1972116 1.376810 1.0000000
2024-12-14 1.2826359 1.1934005 1.375043 1.0000000
2024-12-13 1.3097321 1.2184358 1.404280 1.0000000
2024-12-12 1.3002870 1.2082158 1.395691 1.0000000
2024-12-11 1.3309880 1.2366802 1.428712 1.0000000
2024-12-10 1.3551505 1.2588098 1.454993 1.0000000
2024-12-09 1.3761149 1.2778220 1.477998 1.0000000
2024-12-08 1.4109781 1.3101950 1.515442 1.0000000
2024-12-07 1.4046583 1.3028712 1.510219 1.0000000
2024-12-06 1.4230721 1.3193716 1.530640 1.0000000
2024-12-05 1.4573960 1.3511944 1.567558 1.0000000
2024-12-04 1.4231811 1.3170545 1.533361 1.0000000
2024-12-03 1.4166597 1.3095887 1.527878 1.0000000
2024-12-02 1.4358401 1.3268227 1.549100 1.0000000
2024-12-01 1.4050616 1.2960205 1.518444 1.0000000
2024-11-30 1.4031673 1.2929436 1.517835 1.0000000
2024-11-29 1.4154379 1.3034215 1.532006 1.0000000
2024-11-28 1.4230120 1.3093519 1.541335 1.0000000
2024-11-27 1.4278417 1.3126185 1.547843 1.0000000
2024-11-26 1.4090132 1.2931860 1.529737 1.0000000
2024-11-25 1.4179512 1.3003285 1.540594 1.0000000
2024-11-24 1.4027439 1.2843066 1.526330 1.0000000
2024-11-23 1.4175602 1.2969540 1.543452 1.0000000
2024-11-22 1.4076718 1.2858978 1.534876 1.0000000
2024-11-21 1.3945160 1.2716586 1.522957 1.0000000
2024-11-20 1.4411967 1.3144881 1.573652 1.0000000
2024-11-19 1.4618964 1.3324325 1.597277 1.0000000
2024-11-18 1.4600688 1.3288349 1.597394 1.0000000
2024-11-17 1.4597995 1.3267159 1.599153 1.0000000
2024-11-16 1.4611307 1.3261205 1.602592 1.0000000
2024-11-15 1.4641017 1.3270920 1.607745 1.0000000
2024-11-14 1.5007944 1.3601869 1.648218 1.0000000
2024-11-13 1.4768087 1.3356121 1.624998 1.0000000
2024-11-12 1.4502506 1.3088075 1.598847 1.0000000
2024-11-11 1.4772340 1.3331593 1.628595 1.0000000
2024-11-10 1.4848539 1.3394817 1.637607 1.0000000
2024-11-09 1.4363549 1.2929534 1.587189 1.0000000
2024-11-08 1.3909728 1.2498307 1.539557 1.0000000
2024-11-07 1.3433287 1.2049117 1.489163 0.9999999
2024-11-06 1.3043158 1.1683676 1.447638 0.9999982
2024-11-05 1.2344149 1.1026555 1.373503 0.9998498
2024-11-04 1.2100131 1.0798634 1.347461 0.9994328
2024-11-03 1.1824349 1.0538515 1.318313 0.9977239
2024-11-02 1.1677315 1.0397306 1.303055 0.9954384
2024-11-01 1.1382331 1.0114101 1.272438 0.9840659
2024-10-31 1.0959479 0.9708919 1.228470 0.9311600
2024-10-30 1.0705257 0.9461826 1.202434 0.8605191
2024-10-29 1.0490474 0.9251664 1.180599 0.7714707
2024-10-28 1.0431542 0.9188011 1.175285 0.7413913
2024-10-27 1.0365129 0.9117569 1.169152 0.7058643
2024-10-26 1.0121767 0.8881612 1.144179 0.5657578
2024-10-25 1.0421007 0.9154353 1.176854 0.7318296
2024-10-24 1.0893497 0.9589919 1.227894 0.9062989
2024-10-23 1.1367634 1.0027743 1.279032 0.9774007
2024-10-22 1.1794096 1.0421711 1.325014 0.9953864
2024-10-21 1.2209272 1.0806280 1.369665 0.9992568
2024-10-20 1.2158492 1.0753861 1.364809 0.9990171
2024-10-19 1.1949936 1.0554344 1.343093 0.9974094
2024-10-18 1.1727632 1.0342727 1.319829 0.9933823
2024-10-17 1.1598989 1.0218915 1.306520 0.9890015
2024-10-16 1.1537985 1.0157284 1.300539 0.9859853
2024-10-15 1.1700829 1.0303322 1.318592 0.9920993
2024-10-14 1.1356499 0.9970632 1.283124 0.9723249
2024-10-13 1.1341562 0.9943476 1.283027 0.9696954
2024-10-12 1.1866531 1.0418423 1.340750 0.9948667
2024-10-11 1.2158444 1.0671739 1.374069 0.9982302
2024-10-10 1.2233421 1.0719204 1.384622 0.9985000
2024-10-09 1.2104796 1.0574688 1.373678 0.9970591
2024-10-08 1.2567716 1.0982491 1.425825 0.9994940
2024-10-07 1.2516093 1.0909667 1.423124 0.9992411
2024-10-06 1.2888767 1.1234509 1.465499 0.9998228
2024-10-05 1.3642739 1.1918227 1.548207 0.9999948
2024-10-04 1.3728625 1.1981971 1.559239 0.9999959
2024-10-03 1.4034958 1.2257047 1.593152 0.9999991
2024-10-02 1.4185645 1.2392506 1.609818 0.9999996
2024-10-01 1.4565132 1.2747283 1.650238 1.0000000
2024-09-30 1.4061996 1.2280660 1.596221 0.9999992
2024-09-29 1.3407756 1.1675339 1.525827 0.9999771
2024-09-28 1.3069543 1.1365456 1.489092 0.9998918
2024-09-27 1.2381943 1.0729271 1.415127 0.9981403
2024-09-26 1.2150252 1.0516711 1.390000 0.9957355
2024-09-25 1.1626169 1.0031733 1.333647 0.9773328
2024-09-24 1.0919796 0.9378646 1.257646 0.8718424
2024-09-23 1.0751675 0.9226034 1.239234 0.8231720
2024-09-22 1.0267469 0.8782015 1.186728 0.6243864
2024-09-21 0.9422777 0.8006488 1.095271 0.2180187
2024-09-20 0.9254737 0.7855131 1.076740 0.1578217
2024-09-19 0.9115166 0.7728063 1.061507 0.1168910
2024-09-18 0.9073995 0.7688812 1.057221 0.1066465
2024-09-17 0.9133279 0.7739046 1.064128 0.1226753
2024-09-16 0.9772880 0.8321583 1.133911 0.3749198
2024-09-15 1.0324106 0.8821946 1.194263 0.6500479
2024-09-14 1.0272278 0.8764676 1.189776 0.6245758
2024-09-13 1.0783780 0.9228017 1.245895 0.8286479
2024-09-12 1.0284955 0.8757614 1.193325 0.6287386
2024-09-11 1.0296433 0.8758194 1.195729 0.6330970
2024-09-10 1.0451038 0.8889702 1.213683 0.7004478
2024-09-09 1.0687062 0.9095257 1.240534 0.7895355
2024-09-08 1.0930487 0.9307283 1.268224 0.8612499
2024-09-07 1.1856389 1.0150666 1.369264 0.9840569
2024-09-06 1.2363056 1.0608763 1.424961 0.9965366
2024-09-05 1.2642618 1.0858320 1.456066 0.9986228
2024-09-04 1.2557168 1.0770472 1.447896 0.9980421
2024-09-03 1.2263172 1.0488988 1.417395 0.9945610
2024-09-02 1.1704516 0.9961165 1.358638 0.9721430
2024-09-01 1.1925700 1.0149405 1.384313 0.9837174
2024-08-31 1.2293838 1.0468173 1.426409 0.9939030
2024-08-30 1.2735401 1.0849772 1.476988 0.9983146
2024-08-29 1.3399959 1.1433325 1.552037 0.9998132
2024-08-28 1.3699229 1.1676873 1.588072 0.9999251
2024-08-27 1.3145513 1.1132442 1.532342 0.9992802
2024-08-26 1.3636350 1.1548113 1.589557 0.9998386
2024-08-25 1.3813449 1.1670725 1.613409 0.9998873
2024-08-24 1.3954581 1.1753827 1.634140 0.9999055
2024-08-23 1.4271461 1.1989776 1.674895 0.9999549
2024-08-22 1.5220285 1.2795288 1.785260 0.9999979
2024-08-21 1.6768209 1.4141355 1.961554 1.0000000
2024-08-20 1.8349613 1.5512468 2.142151 1.0000000
2024-08-19 1.9878947 1.6834734 2.317242 1.0000000
2024-08-18 1.9721333 1.6611114 2.309450 1.0000000
2024-08-17 1.9602979 1.6435820 2.304506 1.0000000
2024-08-16 1.8799818 1.5648803 2.223557 1.0000000
2024-08-15 1.8856509 1.5659191 2.234644 1.0000000
2024-08-14 1.8651970 1.5438729 2.216446 1.0000000
2024-08-13 1.9691797 1.6352847 2.333632 1.0000000
2024-08-12 1.8815625 1.5520570 2.242314 1.0000000
2024-08-11 1.9643599 1.6231886 2.337590 1.0000000
2024-08-10 1.9369657 1.5934305 2.313535 1.0000000
2024-08-09 1.8788310 1.5351411 2.256719 1.0000000
2024-08-08 1.7664736 1.4274905 2.141028 0.9999997
2024-08-07 1.7093043 1.3690827 2.086713 0.9999974
2024-08-06 1.6110289 1.2734515 1.987696 0.9999439
2024-08-05 1.5721100 1.2300793 1.955461 0.9997917
2024-08-04 1.5770478 1.2246393 1.973342 0.9997196
2024-08-03 1.6298208 1.2605033 2.045866 0.9998569
2024-08-02 1.7077641 1.3180163 2.147226 0.9999555
2024-08-01 1.8369719 1.4207139 2.305896 0.9999956
2024-07-31 1.9023932 1.4682269 2.391939 0.9999983
2024-07-30 2.0421241 1.5826182 2.559305 0.9999999
2024-07-29 2.0404185 1.5747519 2.565483 0.9999998
2024-07-28 1.8852830 1.4351647 2.395857 0.9999935
2024-07-27 1.8648797 1.4160814 2.374510 0.9999895
2024-07-26 1.8563432 1.4095992 2.363640 0.9999881
2024-07-25 1.8618719 1.4173432 2.366106 0.9999907
2024-07-24 1.6979988 1.2791651 2.175238 0.9998158
2024-07-23 1.5618869 1.1664918 2.014101 0.9983872
2024-07-22 1.3991679 1.0316359 1.821834 0.9843935
2024-07-21 1.2464351 0.9056617 1.640782 0.9128200
2024-07-20 1.1353093 0.8147175 1.508262 0.7713002
2024-07-19 1.0387607 0.7350889 1.394116 0.5709012
2024-07-18 0.9291842 0.6434871 1.266540 0.3119137
2024-07-17 0.9970512 0.6983224 1.348139 0.4707812
2024-07-16 0.8811916 0.5987270 1.217377 0.2180944
2024-07-15 0.8251683 0.5483184 1.157699 0.1329614
2024-07-14 1.0145418 0.6983639 1.388829 0.5098123
2024-07-13 0.9958802 0.6766523 1.375820 0.4669676
2024-07-12 1.0380726 0.7053199 1.434109 0.5582986
2024-07-11 1.0074617 0.6747129 1.405854 0.4912226
2024-07-10 1.0408055 0.6970438 1.452383 0.5603278
2024-07-09 1.1851259 0.8106252 1.629623 0.8091020
2024-07-08 1.3795104 0.9661921 1.865272 0.9620673
2024-07-07 1.4741953 1.0379695 1.985748 0.9846524
2024-07-06 1.6632838 1.1882743 2.216920 0.9982039
2024-07-05 1.7779326 1.2758751 2.361990 0.9995309
2024-07-04 1.8867559 1.3598077 2.498655 0.9998776
2024-07-03 1.8408698 1.3151444 2.453616 0.9997184
2024-07-02 1.8166388 1.2918078 2.429543 0.9995745
2024-07-01 1.7752702 1.2562868 2.382582 0.9992463
2024-06-30 1.4477071 0.9836467 2.000024 0.9698627
2024-06-29 1.3117453 0.8716452 1.840359 0.9047998
2024-06-28 1.2336781 0.8058795 1.751108 0.8334946
2024-06-27 1.5100206 1.0259857 2.086111 0.9814858
2024-06-26 1.6742615 1.1524845 2.291935 0.9961666
2024-06-25 1.6589585 1.1271818 2.291871 0.9944123
2024-06-24 1.5941491 1.0593005 2.236567 0.9869460
2024-06-23 1.6421049 1.0821575 2.316951 0.9896676
2024-06-22 1.5610554 1.0001976 2.244752 0.9750490
2024-06-21 1.5326827 0.9605241 2.236374 0.9637919
2024-06-20 1.5005049 0.9165474 2.226063 0.9477048
2024-06-19 1.6353826 0.9989342 2.426160 0.9747612
2024-06-18 1.9089403 1.1816641 2.807813 0.9953249
2024-06-17 2.1820331 1.3507129 3.209498 0.9989940
2024-06-16 2.9536793 1.8924780 4.247304 0.9999952
2024-06-15 3.9562888 2.5843792 5.615637 1.0000000
2024-06-14 5.1429898 3.3595717 7.300065 1.0000000
2024-06-13 6.2609111 3.9688806 9.066960 1.0000000

1.3 Phân bố nhóm tuổi

Figure 1.4: Log nhóm tuổi theo ngày khởi phát
Figure 1.5: Nhóm tuổi theo ngày khởi phát

1.4 Quận/Huyện

1.4.1 Bình Chánh

Figure 1.6: Diễn tiến Rt của Bình Chánh
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-28 1.1938689 0.9174016 1.5061926 0.9071696
2024-12-27 1.2924256 1.0016121 1.6197407 0.9757003
2024-12-26 1.1752350 0.8968281 1.4907014 0.8798714
2024-12-25 1.3091971 1.0125329 1.6433961 0.9799536
2024-12-24 1.2827119 0.9878445 1.6155029 0.9692563
2024-12-23 1.2940455 0.9965727 1.6297768 0.9734888
2024-12-22 1.3049233 1.0049499 1.6434768 0.9770437
2024-12-21 1.1936893 0.9064184 1.5198981 0.8971204
2024-12-20 1.2494822 0.9534866 1.5848787 0.9473520
2024-12-19 1.3111245 1.0052316 1.6570299 0.9771197
2024-12-18 1.2938151 0.9873172 1.6411117 0.9692086
2024-12-17 1.2804653 0.9723110 1.6303880 0.9611061
2024-12-16 1.2248188 0.9201216 1.5724248 0.9185510
2024-12-15 1.2853368 0.9682916 1.6465932 0.9591607
2024-12-14 1.3031756 0.9789856 1.6730194 0.9654186
2024-12-13 1.2730953 0.9479031 1.6455073 0.9463043
2024-12-12 1.3698497 1.0261115 1.7624818 0.9834144
2024-12-11 1.3113520 0.9701455 1.7031797 0.9613665
2024-12-10 1.3561946 1.0033202 1.7614210 0.9762033
2024-12-09 1.4558256 1.0839578 1.8816907 0.9933604
2024-12-08 1.4951276 1.1132207 1.9324896 0.9959024
2024-12-07 1.5575908 1.1632833 2.0085607 0.9982951
2024-12-06 1.5228572 1.1302940 1.9730320 0.9968399
2024-12-05 1.5123088 1.1188143 1.9641816 0.9960899
2024-12-04 1.5301520 1.1320149 1.9873564 0.9968471
2024-12-03 1.4851147 1.0912064 1.9387874 0.9936790
2024-12-02 1.5042977 1.1053014 1.9638304 0.9949291
2024-12-01 1.3962315 1.0104597 1.8434087 0.9783738
2024-11-30 1.3862591 0.9990937 1.8358405 0.9746897
2024-11-29 1.4796887 1.0751441 1.9478325 0.9915325
2024-11-28 1.4083855 1.0106817 1.8710451 0.9783560
2024-11-27 1.3364061 0.9457205 1.7935845 0.9505149
2024-11-26 1.2621761 0.8791519 1.7133713 0.8977112
2024-11-25 1.2577570 0.8710333 1.7144068 0.8906046
2024-11-24 1.2887439 0.8924926 1.7566439 0.9132109
2024-11-23 1.2780623 0.8797593 1.7495686 0.9023150
2024-11-22 1.4187086 0.9936460 1.9182724 0.9729397
2024-11-21 1.3172037 0.9067024 1.8031502 0.9270142
2024-11-20 1.2482304 0.8481120 1.7244450 0.8706711
2024-11-19 1.3773143 0.9538302 1.8773713 0.9566949
2024-11-18 1.3433264 0.9246841 1.8389101 0.9402213
2024-11-17 1.3090955 0.8954204 1.8000892 0.9189355
2024-11-16 1.2757189 0.8667891 1.7624206 0.8928585
2024-11-15 1.3266720 0.9074427 1.8242579 0.9287916
2024-11-14 1.2967874 0.8811041 1.7915271 0.9075488
2024-11-13 1.2250336 0.8204242 1.7094623 0.8399638
2024-11-12 1.3211994 0.8976909 1.8252525 0.9223192
2024-11-11 1.1572698 0.7626481 1.6328659 0.7504707
2024-11-10 1.0717063 0.6935518 1.5308295 0.6084194
2024-11-09 1.1065532 0.7228373 1.5706643 0.6706608
2024-11-08 1.0891859 0.7114924 1.5460128 0.6419253
2024-11-07 1.0624445 0.6940240 1.5080554 0.5948413
2024-11-06 1.0278503 0.6714259 1.4589517 0.5294350
2024-11-05 0.9126231 0.5847348 1.3123251 0.3006822
2024-11-04 0.9128224 0.5907305 1.3038791 0.2982896
2024-11-03 0.9140217 0.5970693 1.2973811 0.2979468
2024-11-02 0.9533663 0.6335050 1.3375587 0.3754229
2024-11-01 0.7968139 0.5105337 1.1457949 0.1106151
2024-10-31 0.8132979 0.5263235 1.1617179 0.1280452
2024-10-30 0.7979640 0.5164003 1.1398150 0.1078618
2024-10-29 0.6872547 0.4306989 1.0027899 0.0258809
2024-10-28 0.7299888 0.4677176 1.0497024 0.0451930
2024-10-27 0.7654558 0.5000211 1.0865036 0.0680714
2024-10-26 0.6523314 0.4135221 0.9446968 0.0115255
2024-10-25 0.5452697 0.3330649 0.8089309 0.0010111
2024-10-24 0.5507482 0.3409218 0.8100819 0.0009570
2024-10-23 0.6073853 0.3891632 0.8734022 0.0031797
2024-10-22 0.6869193 0.4564529 0.9637376 0.0146038
2024-10-21 0.6930057 0.4641168 0.9670487 0.0152622
2024-10-20 0.7481116 0.5117078 1.0287008 0.0373336
2024-10-19 0.7346169 0.5024774 1.0101447 0.0289496
2024-10-18 0.7012743 0.4764818 0.9688187 0.0154682
2024-10-17 0.6937182 0.4713479 0.9583799 0.0130042
2024-10-16 0.6672375 0.4501824 0.9263223 0.0074473
2024-10-15 0.6892653 0.4683223 0.9522281 0.0117029
2024-10-14 0.6715759 0.4531094 0.9323451 0.0083281
2024-10-13 0.7273368 0.4974978 1.0001341 0.0250494
2024-10-12 0.7922343 0.5486453 1.0798682 0.0709308
2024-10-11 0.9654267 0.6897150 1.2867758 0.3911114
2024-10-10 0.9851118 0.7005108 1.3174726 0.4414664
2024-10-09 1.0939538 0.7850402 1.4533216 0.6963889
2024-10-08 1.1639936 0.8353019 1.5463696 0.8147755
2024-10-07 1.3046946 0.9442139 1.7225548 0.9471843
2024-10-06 1.3958535 1.0101861 1.8429097 0.9782913
2024-10-05 1.5591604 1.1372623 2.0465867 0.9967643
2024-10-04 1.6925092 1.2391294 2.2154776 0.9993820
2024-10-03 1.7469787 1.2742583 2.2931210 0.9996279
2024-10-02 1.9134578 1.4059368 2.4979806 0.9999632
2024-10-01 1.9972696 1.4675186 2.6073952 0.9999868
2024-09-30 2.2108393 1.6409275 2.8643899 0.9999995
2024-09-29 2.1569387 1.5848374 2.8158401 0.9999981
2024-09-28 2.3265701 1.7212094 3.0217415 0.9999999
2024-09-27 2.1021126 1.5213093 2.7753654 0.9999908
2024-09-26 2.2487964 1.6402876 2.9518175 0.9999989
2024-09-25 2.0235395 1.4456463 2.6970890 0.9999584
2024-09-24 1.8714866 1.3176993 2.5209013 0.9996569
2024-09-23 1.6445728 1.1320482 2.2512932 0.9950461
2024-09-22 1.4499050 0.9782448 2.0128952 0.9680998
2024-09-21 1.2928687 0.8591018 1.8138755 0.8923439
2024-09-20 1.1768404 0.7755452 1.6604793 0.7759863
2024-09-19 1.1021339 0.7263132 1.5550712 0.6673267
2024-09-18 0.9900073 0.6467057 1.4052367 0.4535601
2024-09-17 0.8871443 0.5741130 1.2672003 0.2492085
2024-09-16 0.7615035 0.4827279 1.1027983 0.0753973
2024-09-15 0.6814386 0.4270540 0.9943035 0.0232697
2024-09-14 0.6110413 0.3782442 0.8987654 0.0057275
2024-09-13 0.6322197 0.4007731 0.9155714 0.0071947
2024-09-12 0.5230473 0.3194909 0.7759630 0.0004526
2024-09-11 0.4766174 0.2869548 0.7136156 0.0000867
2024-09-10 0.4124608 0.2402736 0.6304099 0.0000067
2024-09-09 0.4492082 0.2704527 0.6725772 0.0000212
2024-09-08 0.4402995 0.2650891 0.6592387 0.0000128
2024-09-07 0.4333389 0.2608983 0.6488169 0.0000084
2024-09-06 0.5177887 0.3282336 0.7498540 0.0001533
2024-09-05 0.5348119 0.3426641 0.7690437 0.0002449
2024-09-04 0.5534990 0.3581954 0.7906202 0.0004140
2024-09-03 0.6192803 0.4115073 0.8688410 0.0024331
2024-09-02 0.6232869 0.4141697 0.8744623 0.0027553
2024-09-01 0.7010154 0.4763059 0.9684610 0.0153782
2024-08-31 0.7891142 0.5464845 1.0756153 0.0676147
2024-08-30 0.9382483 0.6671862 1.2547980 0.3243902
2024-08-29 1.0307405 0.7396772 1.3693424 0.5559380
2024-08-28 1.1359807 0.8221149 1.4998063 0.7785391
2024-08-27 1.1702124 0.8433862 1.5497270 0.8265347
2024-08-26 1.2679457 0.9176186 1.6740362 0.9258654
2024-08-25 1.3805213 1.0030889 1.8172906 0.9760575
2024-08-24 1.5152431 1.1052287 1.9889400 0.9947065
2024-08-23 1.6085032 1.1687409 2.1174013 0.9979448
2024-08-22 1.8094806 1.3198475 2.3751623 0.9998209
2024-08-21 2.0594243 1.5077574 2.6957659 0.9999923
2024-08-20 2.4623076 1.8216287 3.1980369 1.0000000
2024-08-19 2.9904588 2.2400589 3.8475967 1.0000000
2024-08-18 3.1338591 2.3260106 4.0602654 1.0000000
2024-08-17 3.1974464 2.3493634 4.1742019 1.0000000
2024-08-16 2.9302823 2.1028212 3.8928906 1.0000000
2024-08-15 2.9001193 2.0718878 3.8654446 1.0000000
2024-08-14 2.7147195 1.9210971 3.6434127 0.9999999
2024-08-13 2.6958333 1.9170010 3.6053638 0.9999999
2024-08-12 2.3915097 1.6749840 3.2336219 0.9999968
2024-08-11 2.3030768 1.6130467 3.1140495 0.9999928
2024-08-10 2.1106311 1.4616734 2.8769311 0.9999317
2024-08-09 1.8868239 1.2820053 2.6066695 0.9991397
2024-08-08 1.6902606 1.1231659 2.3714104 0.9935909
2024-08-07 1.4539247 0.9315570 2.0907009 0.9511265
2024-08-06 1.2301484 0.7514066 1.8249777 0.7937718
2024-08-05 0.9472183 0.5301509 1.4833199 0.3829505
2024-08-04 0.9166294 0.5011298 1.4555025 0.3375726
2024-08-03 0.7523871 0.3755889 1.2578788 0.1381281
2024-08-02 0.8612720 0.4450318 1.4126324 0.2657427
2024-08-01 0.9801068 0.5218656 1.5803532 0.4344116
2024-07-31 1.0271898 0.5469353 1.6562713 0.5013867
2024-07-30 1.2350816 0.6912658 1.9341067 0.7587533
2024-07-29 1.5303121 0.9069599 2.3140569 0.9456972
2024-07-28 1.3877308 0.7932081 2.1457978 0.8764198
2024-07-27 1.4847594 0.8649271 2.2693236 0.9258592
2024-07-26 1.5650275 0.9275345 2.3665517 0.9542069
2024-07-25 1.6317131 0.9823979 2.4430834 0.9708901
2024-07-24 1.6906266 1.0326787 2.5081167 0.9813312
2024-07-23 1.4980022 0.8878111 2.2651997 0.9364183
2024-07-22 1.3966901 0.8136234 2.1347173 0.8891240
2024-07-21 1.3036553 0.7451517 2.0157949 0.8239753
2024-07-20 1.3826289 0.8054323 2.1132260 0.8818810
2024-07-19 1.2284131 0.6875335 1.9236639 0.7526173
2024-07-18 1.0833540 0.5768404 1.7468320 0.5759914
2024-07-17 1.2862923 0.7199280 2.0143012 0.8017583
2024-07-16 1.0695878 0.5526716 1.7543056 0.5531089
2024-07-15 0.8396092 0.3839228 1.4705465 0.2578678
2024-07-14 1.1737019 0.6064689 1.9250705 0.6710282
2024-07-13 1.2242060 0.6325651 2.0079058 0.7190281
2024-07-12 1.3668571 0.7277939 2.2039609 0.8355106
2024-07-11 1.2801016 0.6614472 2.0995840 0.7652650
2024-07-10 1.2806016 0.6617055 2.1004041 0.7656473
2024-07-09 1.2718364 0.6571764 2.0860278 0.7588680
2024-07-08 1.4763563 0.8071377 2.3442847 0.8991936
2024-07-07 1.4829152 0.8107235 2.3546994 0.9017452
2024-07-06 1.4015279 0.7462546 2.2598651 0.8548097
2024-07-05 1.5563275 0.8508587 2.4712697 0.9263739
2024-07-04 1.7377152 0.9725860 2.7212181 0.9692706
2024-07-03 1.5828471 0.8427994 2.5522296 0.9253990
2024-07-02 1.6780162 0.8934730 2.7056831 0.9476075
2024-07-01 1.7999508 0.9583980 2.9022940 0.9666614
2024-06-30 1.5119036 0.7250166 2.5830576 0.8673726
2024-06-29 1.3559383 0.5853979 2.4445322 0.7576325
2024-06-28 1.3792333 0.5545233 2.5731517 0.7510945
2024-06-27 2.4002474 1.1510119 4.1007755 0.9894295
2024-06-26 3.4041513 1.6993401 5.6912323 0.9994618
2024-06-25 5.1087132 2.6397467 8.3791575 0.9999932

1.4.2 Bình Tân

Figure 1.7: Diễn tiến Rt của Bình Tân
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-28 1.1863464 0.9449183 1.454827 0.9301048
2024-12-27 1.3073916 1.0526302 1.589347 0.9920650
2024-12-26 1.3019504 1.0469218 1.584360 0.9909102
2024-12-25 1.1802232 0.9372675 1.450755 0.9212773
2024-12-24 1.2310436 0.9819286 1.507896 0.9644102
2024-12-23 1.2350378 0.9851145 1.512789 0.9665274
2024-12-22 1.1328871 0.8940568 1.399562 0.8494696
2024-12-21 1.1025043 0.8671896 1.365639 0.7860444
2024-12-20 1.0132809 0.7883930 1.265958 0.5275714
2024-12-19 0.9839225 0.7625265 1.233107 0.4310463
2024-12-18 1.0444168 0.8156981 1.300972 0.6269707
2024-12-17 1.0332955 0.8055045 1.289020 0.5919573
2024-12-16 1.0532679 0.8226110 1.311998 0.6531376
2024-12-15 1.1488902 0.9066862 1.419332 0.8753340
2024-12-14 1.1405706 0.8986399 1.410903 0.8606823
2024-12-13 1.0409598 0.8099288 1.300539 0.6144600
2024-12-12 1.0001861 0.7735438 1.255504 0.4842321
2024-12-11 1.0346821 0.8034711 1.294686 0.5944507
2024-12-10 1.0545262 0.8204844 1.317488 0.6542521
2024-12-09 1.0300112 0.7982445 1.290868 0.5792650
2024-12-08 1.0699844 0.8325117 1.336801 0.6968158
2024-12-07 1.0520786 0.8153464 1.318524 0.6447399
2024-12-06 1.1501782 0.8999436 1.430643 0.8687369
2024-12-05 1.1759278 0.9200911 1.462672 0.9030510
2024-12-04 1.1240443 0.8711189 1.408716 0.8153322
2024-12-03 1.1934723 0.9285927 1.491083 0.9171866
2024-12-02 1.2684247 0.9906502 1.580007 0.9704107
2024-12-01 1.2539848 0.9737683 1.569097 0.9605707
2024-11-30 1.2143628 0.9352074 1.529421 0.9282276
2024-11-29 1.2814196 0.9910499 1.608528 0.9708030
2024-11-28 1.3412482 1.0415317 1.678289 0.9882997
2024-11-27 1.3520437 1.0499148 1.691797 0.9900125
2024-11-26 1.2937225 0.9984677 1.626639 0.9743286
2024-11-25 1.3282273 1.0293579 1.664609 0.9852530
2024-11-24 1.3199088 1.0229112 1.654184 0.9834103
2024-11-23 1.3515051 1.0515517 1.688524 0.9903960
2024-11-22 1.3084422 1.0140247 1.639814 0.9805192
2024-11-21 1.2314269 0.9462623 1.553576 0.9399344
2024-11-20 1.2171681 0.9331958 1.538285 0.9272166
2024-11-19 1.2249361 0.9391514 1.548103 0.9334860
2024-11-18 1.1339768 0.8588630 1.446729 0.8119607
2024-11-17 1.0419141 0.7781513 1.343580 0.5978047
2024-11-16 1.0306502 0.7673868 1.332141 0.5665925
2024-11-15 1.0843670 0.8122653 1.395173 0.7039163
2024-11-14 1.0006422 0.7377946 1.302920 0.4825752
2024-11-13 1.0064832 0.7395260 1.313943 0.4982378
2024-11-12 1.0424077 0.7659220 1.360842 0.5924945
2024-11-11 1.2020651 0.8977597 1.550100 0.8926455
2024-11-10 1.3291799 1.0013202 1.702759 0.9755166
2024-11-09 1.3884520 1.0459721 1.778690 0.9881403
2024-11-08 1.4183046 1.0654741 1.820822 0.9913472
2024-11-07 1.4129854 1.0552851 1.822088 0.9895475
2024-11-06 1.4820340 1.1101452 1.906821 0.9958646
2024-11-05 1.3477079 0.9902451 1.759405 0.9712244
2024-11-04 1.4093703 1.0391584 1.835119 0.9860758
2024-11-03 1.5929523 1.1932306 2.049531 0.9990268
2024-11-02 1.6600002 1.2470432 2.131111 0.9996473
2024-11-01 1.6618720 1.2448562 2.138205 0.9996132
2024-10-31 1.6864453 1.2632632 2.169821 0.9997225
2024-10-30 1.6673454 1.2452533 2.150093 0.9995951
2024-10-29 1.5390162 1.1347491 2.003928 0.9969024
2024-10-28 1.4005008 1.0176060 1.843591 0.9804906
2024-10-27 1.2561403 0.8974050 1.674255 0.9091908
2024-10-26 1.1716633 0.8291387 1.572484 0.8150541
2024-10-25 1.1164365 0.7860743 1.503845 0.7266010
2024-10-24 1.0911208 0.7682497 1.469745 0.6799738
2024-10-23 1.0962674 0.7757841 1.471296 0.6926997
2024-10-22 1.0758339 0.7613241 1.443872 0.6520052
2024-10-21 1.0048634 0.7037940 1.358702 0.4894180
2024-10-20 0.9405245 0.6513406 1.281998 0.3379214
2024-10-19 0.8815386 0.6029718 1.212171 0.2156704
2024-10-18 0.8264092 0.5575748 1.147299 0.1274575
2024-10-17 0.8843243 0.6048772 1.216002 0.2211534
2024-10-16 0.8616137 0.5854247 1.190330 0.1815246
2024-10-15 0.8965373 0.6132309 1.232796 0.2458232
2024-10-14 0.8493991 0.5730860 1.179216 0.1637703
2024-10-13 0.8612510 0.5810824 1.195670 0.1842880
2024-10-12 0.9061909 0.6157127 1.251913 0.2686095
2024-10-11 1.0465906 0.7289887 1.420720 0.5834718
2024-10-10 1.0747976 0.7486359 1.459010 0.6424282
2024-10-09 1.1058180 0.7702428 1.501119 0.7013949
2024-10-08 1.2337170 0.8730515 1.655766 0.8841378
2024-10-07 1.2620287 0.8930867 1.693763 0.9075684
2024-10-06 1.2483926 0.8789836 1.681591 0.8935430
2024-10-05 1.3266913 0.9434072 1.774296 0.9485961
2024-10-04 1.2605337 0.8875321 1.697945 0.9032368
2024-10-03 1.2565285 0.8847120 1.692550 0.9001268
2024-10-02 1.2159421 0.8516309 1.644107 0.8598488
2024-10-01 1.2429206 0.8751308 1.674220 0.8889084
2024-09-30 1.2381055 0.8717405 1.667734 0.8846888
2024-09-29 1.2693799 0.8982888 1.703629 0.9129354
2024-09-28 1.3025568 0.9262453 1.742018 0.9365678
2024-09-27 1.1352998 0.7862281 1.547489 0.7475537
2024-09-26 1.1661531 0.8122683 1.583022 0.7966093
2024-09-25 1.0273597 0.6980410 1.419310 0.5356835
2024-09-24 0.9529363 0.6381964 1.329767 0.3731940
2024-09-23 1.0081354 0.6849791 1.392751 0.4940550
2024-09-22 0.9334207 0.6251265 1.302534 0.3310795
2024-09-21 0.8938036 0.5939260 1.253993 0.2521154
2024-09-20 0.9532027 0.6431218 1.323326 0.3724821
2024-09-19 0.9214898 0.6171362 1.285885 0.3057563
2024-09-18 0.9902474 0.6728251 1.368038 0.4544122
2024-09-17 1.0649983 0.7330958 1.457900 0.6177698
2024-09-16 1.0475997 0.7165574 1.440516 0.5799770
2024-09-15 1.0322358 0.7013542 1.426046 0.5460347
2024-09-14 0.9835010 0.6586661 1.372418 0.4397105
2024-09-13 1.0367352 0.6994809 1.439294 0.5538251
2024-09-12 1.0213144 0.6839903 1.425184 0.5203853
2024-09-11 1.1125204 0.7559037 1.536960 0.6994715
2024-09-10 1.1332780 0.7700074 1.565637 0.7329823
2024-09-09 1.1533383 0.7836374 1.593350 0.7627731
2024-09-08 1.1716212 0.7960597 1.618608 0.7877138
2024-09-07 1.3015613 0.9013691 1.774115 0.9212886
2024-09-06 1.3129038 0.9092241 1.789575 0.9278715
2024-09-05 1.3175225 0.9124227 1.795871 0.9304077
2024-09-04 1.2760427 0.8783691 1.746804 0.9008613
2024-09-03 1.2283383 0.8401825 1.689043 0.8565434
2024-09-02 1.1768881 0.7996384 1.625885 0.7945131
2024-09-01 1.1995785 0.8205108 1.649496 0.8262002
2024-08-31 1.1108797 0.7495059 1.542228 0.6930789
2024-08-30 1.0992750 0.7416762 1.526118 0.6732834
2024-08-29 1.0907704 0.7359382 1.514311 0.6582730
2024-08-28 1.0500582 0.7032405 1.465294 0.5787591
2024-08-27 0.9780494 0.6445407 1.379992 0.4286372
2024-08-26 1.0200456 0.6778129 1.431109 0.5165613
2024-08-25 1.1051826 0.7456621 1.534319 0.6834607
2024-08-24 0.9363070 0.6059285 1.337425 0.3449210
2024-08-23 0.8801911 0.5579656 1.274680 0.2437948
2024-08-22 1.0218832 0.6675280 1.450482 0.5177208
2024-08-21 1.0957620 0.7221141 1.546081 0.6566620
2024-08-20 1.0957811 0.7158006 1.555374 0.6530147
2024-08-19 1.2322094 0.8187942 1.728771 0.8422302
2024-08-18 1.2001465 0.7839755 1.703512 0.7985489
2024-08-17 1.3597691 0.9035567 1.907736 0.9308837
2024-08-16 1.4327060 0.9520228 2.010065 0.9582151
2024-08-15 1.5639733 1.0474175 2.182433 0.9852767
2024-08-14 1.7048628 1.1502638 2.366852 0.9956090
2024-08-13 1.8562907 1.2612594 2.564487 0.9988940
2024-08-12 1.7049114 1.1235474 2.405568 0.9934198
2024-08-11 1.8684155 1.2415486 2.621359 0.9983065
2024-08-10 2.0529046 1.3748624 2.864708 0.9996563
2024-08-09 2.1902755 1.4668619 3.056401 0.9998788
2024-08-08 2.1100038 1.3783246 2.994983 0.9995470
2024-08-07 2.4598776 1.6345708 3.451172 0.9999772
2024-08-06 2.4887276 1.6257195 3.532551 0.9999639
2024-08-05 2.4087947 1.5269692 3.488381 0.9998442
2024-08-04 2.6385122 1.6725904 3.821055 0.9999582
2024-08-03 2.7586481 1.7288301 4.025210 0.9999681
2024-08-02 2.7272594 1.6658809 4.046006 0.9999175
2024-08-01 2.9428004 1.7975389 4.365770 0.9999703
2024-07-31 2.8285859 1.6763993 4.277238 0.9998828
2024-07-30 2.8180748 1.6416324 4.307178 0.9998140
2024-07-29 3.1054773 1.8405027 4.695938 0.9999631
2024-07-28 2.8330840 1.6193523 4.380695 0.9997330
2024-07-27 2.8638812 1.6369556 4.428316 0.9997625
2024-07-26 2.6655084 1.4918648 4.174119 0.9992486
2024-07-25 2.5897294 1.4494519 4.055451 0.9990031
2024-07-24 1.8030889 0.9000955 3.014495 0.9530817
2024-07-23 1.6776519 0.8374778 2.804783 0.9299455
2024-07-22 1.5405624 0.7690432 2.575590 0.8912255
2024-07-21 1.2811293 0.6143513 2.188784 0.7404313
2024-07-20 0.9425914 0.4069441 1.699336 0.3872502
2024-07-19 0.8781065 0.3791040 1.583081 0.3111140
2024-07-18 0.6244646 0.2291675 1.214410 0.0834368
2024-07-17 0.7044908 0.2832418 1.314326 0.1342124
2024-07-16 0.7935475 0.3425975 1.430635 0.2129852
2024-07-15 0.5965204 0.2189125 1.160066 0.0649110
2024-07-14 0.6061046 0.2224297 1.178705 0.0709937
2024-07-13 0.6225377 0.2284604 1.210663 0.0820833
2024-07-12 0.6453998 0.2368503 1.255123 0.0988321
2024-07-11 0.5631107 0.1828405 1.153430 0.0591767
2024-07-10 0.5970099 0.1938475 1.222866 0.0800788
2024-07-09 0.7723952 0.2834554 1.502094 0.2134195
2024-07-08 0.9928292 0.3991688 1.852261 0.4422053
2024-07-07 1.2830472 0.5539287 2.313122 0.7110198
2024-07-06 1.8660176 0.8948280 3.188054 0.9532100
2024-07-05 2.4569309 1.2264911 4.107621 0.9935664
2024-07-04 3.2905511 1.7002758 5.397063 0.9995854
2024-07-03 4.1210477 2.1294055 6.759218 0.9999459
2024-07-02 4.7936915 2.3929935 8.014336 0.9999711
2024-07-01 6.6793537 3.4513195 10.955275 0.9999995
2024-06-30 7.8349211 3.9111644 13.098817 0.9999997
2024-06-29 9.1222464 4.3744717 15.585179 0.9999997
2024-06-28 11.7243689 5.6222906 20.030854 1.0000000
2024-06-27 16.7042148 8.3386838 27.926951 1.0000000

1.4.3 TP. Thủ Đức

Figure 1.8: Diễn tiến Rt của TP. Thủ Đức
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-29 0.8095848 0.6706738 0.9613753 0.0077954
2024-12-28 0.9172416 0.7685201 1.0789227 0.1484350
2024-12-27 0.9050283 0.7566922 1.0664442 0.1169572
2024-12-26 0.9508077 0.7977309 1.1171211 0.2670628
2024-12-25 0.9500356 0.7959969 1.1174973 0.2652910
2024-12-24 0.9864483 0.8281884 1.1583407 0.4252354
2024-12-23 0.9952380 0.8350081 1.1693230 0.4664140
2024-12-22 0.9965950 0.8350072 1.1722637 0.4727741
2024-12-21 1.1028561 0.9312227 1.2887917 0.8720565
2024-12-20 1.1190195 0.9448706 1.3076801 0.9042122
2024-12-19 1.1419278 0.9647934 1.3337703 0.9390087
2024-12-18 1.1955101 1.0130106 1.3929017 0.9825943
2024-12-17 1.2014652 1.0174758 1.4005198 0.9846498
2024-12-16 1.2066697 1.0212943 1.4072764 0.9862162
2024-12-15 1.2357223 1.0470842 1.4397534 0.9936679
2024-12-14 1.2072833 1.0200111 1.4101055 0.9856096
2024-12-13 1.2770430 1.0833142 1.4864729 0.9980649
2024-12-12 1.2047924 1.0160535 1.4093723 0.9838296
2024-12-11 1.2059157 1.0163700 1.4114279 0.9839439
2024-12-10 1.1971874 1.0077418 1.4027087 0.9796403
2024-12-09 1.1787192 0.9902685 1.3833414 0.9679385
2024-12-08 1.1681726 0.9801008 1.3725069 0.9588960
2024-12-07 1.1318487 0.9463362 1.3337190 0.9130003
2024-12-06 1.1393012 0.9525673 1.3425008 0.9238538
2024-12-05 1.1564927 0.9676279 1.3619451 0.9453725
2024-12-04 1.1128313 0.9270182 1.3153654 0.8747358
2024-12-03 1.1223499 0.9349474 1.3266163 0.8927350
2024-12-02 1.1505183 0.9598499 1.3582040 0.9357823
2024-12-01 1.1348060 0.9446025 1.3421969 0.9122237
2024-11-30 1.1297036 0.9388942 1.3379013 0.9023827
2024-11-29 1.1179202 0.9268669 1.3266101 0.8786188
2024-11-28 1.1285029 0.9348711 1.3400879 0.8965016
2024-11-27 1.1442978 0.9471656 1.3597888 0.9193947
2024-11-26 1.1664443 0.9646812 1.3870813 0.9443603
2024-11-25 1.2370491 1.0256367 1.4679778 0.9867771
2024-11-24 1.2970811 1.0762835 1.5381729 0.9966510
2024-11-23 1.2993345 1.0736652 1.5462090 0.9962159
2024-11-22 1.3742859 1.1365719 1.6342368 0.9993906
2024-11-21 1.4073526 1.1608923 1.6771836 0.9996868
2024-11-20 1.4943413 1.2337320 1.7795503 0.9999691
2024-11-19 1.5479338 1.2757166 1.8460837 0.9999914
2024-11-18 1.6208111 1.3345708 1.9344472 0.9999987
2024-11-17 1.7472155 1.4412373 2.0822083 1.0000000
2024-11-16 1.8214033 1.4997379 2.1738552 1.0000000
2024-11-15 1.8458432 1.5127131 2.2116298 1.0000000
2024-11-14 2.0413336 1.6808278 2.4363432 1.0000000
2024-11-13 2.1191817 1.7433291 2.5311763 1.0000000
2024-11-12 2.1320083 1.7489277 2.5524590 1.0000000
2024-11-11 2.0492721 1.6709365 2.4656391 1.0000000
2024-11-10 1.9312729 1.5643372 2.3362884 1.0000000
2024-11-09 1.8279826 1.4736120 2.2199624 0.9999999
2024-11-08 1.6340428 1.3033765 2.0015271 0.9999813
2024-11-07 1.5382290 1.2215758 1.8908238 0.9998270
2024-11-06 1.5236870 1.2118335 1.8707086 0.9997888
2024-11-05 1.4443969 1.1435427 1.7798541 0.9988208
2024-11-04 1.3222986 1.0364710 1.6424051 0.9874842
2024-11-03 1.2101522 0.9378514 1.5166311 0.9294716
2024-11-02 1.1225970 0.8606887 1.4187644 0.8025104
2024-11-01 1.0936823 0.8345948 1.3872577 0.7389423
2024-10-31 0.9947921 0.7473185 1.2771160 0.4666218
2024-10-30 0.8976275 0.6618396 1.1687864 0.2090687
2024-10-29 0.8206893 0.5939369 1.0835351 0.0822741
2024-10-28 0.8623660 0.6265964 1.1352013 0.1453206
2024-10-27 0.9518399 0.6993761 1.2426078 0.3484028
2024-10-26 1.0097914 0.7445405 1.3148333 0.5076680
2024-10-25 1.1181816 0.8325597 1.4452775 0.7691418
2024-10-24 1.3257274 1.0066804 1.6880193 0.9775853
2024-10-23 1.4014130 1.0668205 1.7809454 0.9920178
2024-10-22 1.3979638 1.0588042 1.7835237 0.9906213
2024-10-21 1.4066578 1.0625742 1.7982628 0.9911148
2024-10-20 1.4300010 1.0802074 1.8281046 0.9934367
2024-10-19 1.4734170 1.1159517 1.8797869 0.9965671
2024-10-18 1.4922234 1.1301954 1.9037801 0.9973449
2024-10-17 1.4923898 1.1273352 1.9078621 0.9971359
2024-10-16 1.5867155 1.2048596 2.0203296 0.9993583
2024-10-15 1.5880802 1.1996187 2.0301921 0.9992316
2024-10-14 1.6322268 1.2296166 2.0909800 0.9995384
2024-10-13 1.6280407 1.2158987 2.0994080 0.9993196
2024-10-12 1.6945284 1.2616877 2.1902201 0.9996799
2024-10-11 1.7333163 1.2823169 2.2512254 0.9997472
2024-10-10 1.5818603 1.1400658 2.0948776 0.9966156
2024-10-09 1.4793552 1.0416026 1.9926984 0.9853613
2024-10-08 1.6466849 1.1709540 2.2022498 0.9976034
2024-10-07 1.6836701 1.1914652 2.2596460 0.9981286
2024-10-06 1.8479606 1.3202102 2.4630674 0.9997386
2024-10-05 2.0589139 1.4900462 2.7183313 0.9999851
2024-10-04 2.0716783 1.4930835 2.7435497 0.9999838
2024-10-03 2.0187156 1.4422000 2.6906595 0.9999562
2024-10-02 1.9980841 1.4208331 2.6722054 0.9999334
2024-10-01 2.1154496 1.5180832 2.8103824 0.9999873
2024-09-30 1.8590155 1.3020316 2.5136228 0.9995407
2024-09-29 1.7008233 1.1707685 2.3282958 0.9969548
2024-09-28 1.6484423 1.1275333 2.2667124 0.9946003
2024-09-27 1.5009878 1.0052351 2.0945403 0.9764073
2024-09-26 1.3631714 0.8904688 1.9349134 0.9243860
2024-09-25 1.2870860 0.8246603 1.8507918 0.8680141
2024-09-24 1.2736052 0.8073564 1.8444164 0.8517680
2024-09-23 1.4970055 0.9778937 2.1248803 0.9685796
2024-09-22 1.4407375 0.9231077 2.0717381 0.9469861
2024-09-21 1.1863444 0.7142568 1.7762548 0.7410542
2024-09-20 1.2255162 0.7378408 1.8349049 0.7821803
2024-09-19 1.3866558 0.8583618 2.0395975 0.9108481
2024-09-18 1.2740439 0.7670577 1.9075629 0.8255513
2024-09-17 1.2880097 0.7754660 1.9284732 0.8365800
2024-09-16 1.3021760 0.7839950 1.9496837 0.8471439
2024-09-15 1.4606935 0.9041923 2.1484977 0.9404288
2024-09-14 1.5628184 0.9794100 2.2803461 0.9696569
2024-09-13 1.5351062 0.9502549 2.2579495 0.9606323
2024-09-12 1.6689736 1.0459369 2.4352397 0.9838181
2024-09-11 1.7484519 1.0957455 2.5512083 0.9899287
2024-09-10 1.6827906 1.0278922 2.4964917 0.9805143
2024-09-09 1.6220762 0.9613452 2.4528177 0.9654486
2024-09-08 1.5643080 0.8941372 2.4188326 0.9428797
2024-09-07 1.6154328 0.9041455 2.5297270 0.9485407
2024-09-06 1.8135255 1.0150165 2.8399351 0.9776676
2024-09-05 2.0857527 1.1673799 3.2662360 0.9927869
2024-09-04 2.9664098 1.7580825 4.4856478 0.9999346
2024-09-03 3.0359004 1.6991704 4.7541433 0.9998002
2024-09-02 4.1402360 2.3665026 6.4018966 0.9999968
2024-09-01 5.1867410 2.9029796 8.1223054 0.9999996

1.4.4 Hóc Môn

Figure 1.9: Diễn tiến Rt của Hóc Môn
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.3827508 1.0416772 1.771386 0.9872652
2024-12-26 1.4082769 1.0609069 1.804087 0.9907615
2024-12-25 1.5291799 1.1640826 1.943314 0.9986595
2024-12-24 1.3817432 1.0350205 1.777784 0.9856186
2024-12-23 1.2526280 0.9235890 1.631027 0.9271774
2024-12-22 1.2774063 0.9450322 1.659091 0.9449880
2024-12-21 1.2776071 0.9451807 1.659352 0.9451008
2024-12-20 1.3605571 1.0161291 1.754480 0.9805185
2024-12-19 1.2909322 0.9550388 1.676659 0.9521432
2024-12-18 1.1955789 0.8720634 1.569342 0.8671935
2024-12-17 1.2311013 0.9013209 1.611499 0.9053924
2024-12-16 1.2096479 0.8823255 1.587809 0.8823952
2024-12-15 1.1847151 0.8608158 1.559535 0.8514103
2024-12-14 1.1048933 0.7928905 1.467855 0.7176073
2024-12-13 1.0812221 0.7724410 1.441115 0.6680297
2024-12-12 0.9811716 0.6872005 1.326667 0.4325389
2024-12-11 0.9692714 0.6751330 1.315761 0.4044501
2024-12-10 1.0222679 0.7159839 1.382235 0.5302764
2024-12-09 1.2634299 0.9143505 1.668074 0.9227802
2024-12-08 1.3480152 0.9794699 1.774500 0.9667899
2024-12-07 1.3170371 0.9451286 1.749689 0.9487397
2024-12-06 1.2844807 0.9089750 1.723896 0.9231113
2024-12-05 1.3552378 0.9590469 1.818858 0.9580177
2024-12-04 1.4344260 1.0150852 1.925137 0.9794360
2024-12-03 1.4450401 1.0120883 1.953876 0.9785174
2024-12-02 1.5889047 1.1187355 2.140262 0.9947401
2024-12-01 1.6645181 1.1658080 2.250638 0.9971143
2024-11-30 2.0015704 1.4299512 2.667807 0.9999477
2024-11-29 2.1716811 1.5514808 2.894541 0.9999910
2024-11-28 2.3537904 1.6815824 3.137266 0.9999986
2024-11-27 2.6016581 1.8669947 3.456312 0.9999999
2024-11-26 2.7125890 1.9379133 3.615493 1.0000000
2024-11-25 2.5063662 1.7457759 3.402327 0.9999984
2024-11-24 2.3126330 1.5713219 3.194930 0.9999726
2024-11-23 2.5303576 1.7417817 3.463864 0.9999974
2024-11-22 2.4920282 1.7045455 3.426696 0.9999951
2024-11-21 2.2717742 1.5214428 3.170127 0.9999342
2024-11-20 2.3471785 1.5836315 3.258575 0.9999720
2024-11-19 2.0990599 1.3832937 2.961698 0.9996139
2024-11-18 1.9241331 1.2451975 2.748439 0.9980198
2024-11-17 1.8232891 1.1682157 2.621836 0.9953945
2024-11-16 1.4951614 0.9132834 2.218136 0.9461925
2024-11-15 1.3921074 0.8381396 2.084334 0.9011560
2024-11-14 1.2856534 0.7619597 1.944097 0.8271533
2024-11-13 1.0379784 0.5809486 1.625448 0.5227316
2024-11-12 0.9332073 0.5101931 1.481826 0.3630242
2024-11-11 0.8955276 0.4895933 1.421995 0.3053752
2024-11-10 0.8587205 0.4694705 1.363550 0.2505306
2024-11-09 0.7667028 0.4082370 1.236254 0.1372684
2024-11-08 0.7416195 0.3948811 1.195809 0.1103916
2024-11-07 0.7234108 0.3851858 1.166449 0.0927624
2024-11-06 0.7125554 0.3794057 1.148945 0.0830461
2024-11-05 0.7635285 0.4174281 1.212396 0.1262755
2024-11-04 0.8221358 0.4601431 1.287444 0.1924604
2024-11-03 0.6675683 0.3449423 1.094925 0.0554864
2024-11-02 0.8556893 0.4789228 1.339988 0.2404835
2024-11-01 0.7687673 0.4093362 1.239583 0.1396068
2024-10-31 0.8680398 0.4745654 1.378348 0.2641953
2024-10-30 0.9204117 0.5031976 1.461508 0.3433729
2024-10-29 0.9858193 0.5389566 1.565368 0.4432651
2024-10-28 1.2157025 0.6948790 1.879797 0.7491797
2024-10-27 1.3977558 0.8142442 2.136346 0.8896558
2024-10-26 1.6839686 1.0138591 2.521323 0.9778275
2024-10-25 1.7936603 1.0799007 2.685559 0.9874953
2024-10-24 1.9727905 1.2050317 2.926719 0.9959979
2024-10-23 1.9141396 1.1524371 2.865947 0.9933220
2024-10-22 2.0144883 1.2305018 2.988579 0.9968055
2024-10-21 1.9821762 1.2107647 2.940643 0.9961962
2024-10-20 2.0288723 1.2559039 2.984218 0.9976316
2024-10-19 1.7834401 1.0737474 2.670257 0.9868100
2024-10-18 1.7350603 1.0446196 2.597820 0.9830184
2024-10-17 1.6069380 0.9523733 2.429927 0.9627612
2024-10-16 1.5823467 0.9377989 2.392741 0.9579525
2024-10-15 1.4836924 0.8643055 2.267693 0.9254929
2024-10-14 1.1351011 0.6043935 1.830271 0.6382906
2024-10-13 1.1424639 0.6083139 1.842143 0.6466087
2024-10-12 0.8881261 0.4258910 1.517346 0.3130079
2024-10-11 0.8099295 0.3703514 1.418564 0.2221852
2024-10-10 0.9139658 0.4382821 1.561493 0.3469118
2024-10-09 1.0242130 0.5112834 1.712331 0.4912726
2024-10-08 0.8577893 0.3922359 1.502388 0.2802122
2024-10-07 0.9820290 0.4709211 1.677777 0.4352543
2024-10-06 1.1209576 0.5595780 1.874074 0.6064168
2024-10-05 1.1690105 0.5835658 1.954411 0.6564566
2024-10-04 1.4400345 0.7667577 2.321954 0.8737587
2024-10-03 1.4887844 0.7927150 2.400560 0.8943989
2024-10-02 1.3999163 0.7233572 2.296101 0.8424609
2024-10-01 1.5187957 0.8086948 2.448951 0.9054492
2024-09-30 1.4998995 0.7986333 2.418482 0.8986298
2024-09-29 1.3563918 0.7008674 2.224713 0.8175951
2024-09-28 1.3252988 0.6848013 2.173715 0.7976830
2024-09-27 1.2943337 0.6688011 2.122927 0.7759347
2024-09-26 1.0512944 0.5041365 1.796116 0.5202556
2024-09-25 1.3238835 0.7049122 2.134669 0.8083396
2024-09-24 1.3667609 0.7472209 2.170260 0.8460943
2024-09-23 1.1097017 0.5733991 1.820099 0.6014932
2024-09-22 0.9547953 0.4766304 1.596275 0.3993845
2024-09-21 0.8127941 0.3897663 1.388643 0.2169028
2024-09-20 0.6125536 0.2644572 1.104333 0.0523607
2024-09-19 0.5847006 0.2524322 1.054118 0.0376060
2024-09-18 0.5677203 0.2451013 1.023506 0.0300651
2024-09-17 0.6308897 0.2884829 1.104982 0.0544190
2024-09-16 0.7024538 0.3368539 1.200128 0.0986966
2024-09-15 0.7111975 0.3410469 1.215067 0.1065524
2024-09-14 0.7250097 0.3476703 1.238665 0.1195716
2024-09-13 0.8176096 0.4081478 1.366921 0.2147529
2024-09-12 0.8442030 0.4214231 1.411381 0.2491113
2024-09-11 0.5604801 0.2253421 1.045654 0.0347794
2024-09-10 0.6775536 0.2925196 1.221517 0.0982720
2024-09-09 0.9101181 0.4364370 1.554919 0.3418595
2024-09-08 1.0925776 0.5454108 1.826626 0.5745411
2024-09-07 1.5367543 0.8401579 2.440190 0.9204663
2024-09-06 1.9552333 1.1175848 3.023306 0.9899783
2024-09-05 2.3147349 1.3484184 3.537868 0.9984190
2024-09-04 2.5665281 1.4950972 3.922711 0.9994709
2024-09-03 2.4916709 1.3945693 3.901894 0.9985544
2024-09-02 2.5427744 1.3901584 4.037634 0.9982988
2024-09-01 2.9756168 1.6654302 4.659741 0.9997537
2024-08-31 3.2695729 1.8299552 5.120069 0.9999092
2024-08-30 3.6394618 2.0369791 5.699305 0.9999721
2024-08-29 4.1272246 2.3099763 6.463129 0.9999934
2024-08-28 5.1085666 2.9199872 7.899191 0.9999998
2024-08-27 5.3304517 2.9142076 8.464147 0.9999993
2024-08-26 6.0969917 3.2463913 9.830970 0.9999996
2024-08-25 6.6043430 3.2968643 11.041474 0.9999985

1.4.5 Quận 8

Figure 1.10: Diễn tiến Rt của Quận 8
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.3612038 0.9965723 1.7818022 0.9737444
2024-12-26 1.3469604 0.9824822 1.7680486 0.9680382
2024-12-25 1.3227965 0.9611460 1.7413028 0.9574311
2024-12-24 1.3203463 0.9593657 1.7380775 0.9564039
2024-12-23 1.2827409 0.9283260 1.6935700 0.9352269
2024-12-22 1.2436509 0.8963142 1.6469826 0.9051108
2024-12-21 1.1469653 0.8156045 1.5339329 0.7832394
2024-12-20 1.2001006 0.8612129 1.5943379 0.8600760
2024-12-19 1.1983857 0.8599823 1.5920597 0.8581491
2024-12-18 1.1139580 0.7883030 1.4950380 0.7253883
2024-12-17 1.2116002 0.8694652 1.6096152 0.8724500
2024-12-16 1.1379957 0.8053135 1.5272988 0.7658924
2024-12-15 1.0979548 0.7689941 1.4845730 0.6900813
2024-12-14 0.9983595 0.6828772 1.3728075 0.4727927
2024-12-13 0.9933935 0.6749627 1.3723848 0.4614316
2024-12-12 1.0902614 0.7504858 1.4924837 0.6667314
2024-12-11 1.2302788 0.8616722 1.6634917 0.8739842
2024-12-10 1.1694036 0.8049636 1.6008232 0.7931332
2024-12-09 1.2140683 0.8357087 1.6619657 0.8462436
2024-12-08 1.2599448 0.8672880 1.7247671 0.8885859
2024-12-07 1.4625221 1.0297505 1.9700241 0.9829257
2024-12-06 1.4660965 1.0268360 1.9823469 0.9821744
2024-12-05 1.4993930 1.0501564 2.0273679 0.9867728
2024-12-04 1.5617686 1.0996292 2.1037096 0.9932016
2024-12-03 1.4416782 0.9984041 1.9651036 0.9745129
2024-12-02 1.5241254 1.0674787 2.0608093 0.9894265
2024-12-01 1.4345464 0.9934651 1.9553825 0.9729481
2024-11-30 1.4748494 1.0272866 2.0020698 0.9821777
2024-11-29 1.3953066 0.9604648 1.9100669 0.9602358
2024-11-28 1.3654259 0.9339503 1.8775471 0.9468026
2024-11-27 1.2563517 0.8413984 1.7531649 0.8688284
2024-11-26 1.3281522 0.8960987 1.8438665 0.9224786
2024-11-25 1.3672066 0.9224486 1.8980855 0.9413121
2024-11-24 1.3719313 0.9188039 1.9144495 0.9399325
2024-11-23 1.1897387 0.7622880 1.7108092 0.7758088
2024-11-22 1.1543765 0.7234416 1.6843786 0.7209477
2024-11-21 1.2340043 0.7733439 1.8005654 0.8107090
2024-11-20 1.3902398 0.8812928 2.0133250 0.9231454
2024-11-19 1.7008481 1.1110505 2.4142186 0.9922455
2024-11-18 1.7684460 1.1444450 2.5260551 0.9943618
2024-11-17 1.9012422 1.2303837 2.7157417 0.9976912
2024-11-16 1.9452245 1.2463421 2.7971755 0.9979055
2024-11-15 2.2263013 1.4542939 3.1600575 0.9997945
2024-11-14 2.3361064 1.5260223 3.3159172 0.9999015
2024-11-13 2.2517094 1.4427127 3.2378918 0.9997005
2024-11-12 2.2413724 1.4208378 3.2459227 0.9995805
2024-11-11 2.5086947 1.6234949 3.5834293 0.9999555
2024-11-10 2.4461672 1.5673055 3.5175164 0.9999092
2024-11-09 2.3393191 1.4829277 3.3877679 0.9997657
2024-11-08 2.1929911 1.3743358 3.1998462 0.9992714
2024-11-07 1.9265351 1.1767777 2.8580970 0.9948560
2024-11-06 1.5708760 0.9150932 2.4009451 0.9503436
2024-11-05 1.2408221 0.6783690 1.9702833 0.7544549
2024-11-04 1.1970730 0.6544509 1.9008148 0.7132643
2024-11-03 1.0829835 0.5766431 1.7462346 0.5755219
2024-11-02 1.0677776 0.5685466 1.7217162 0.5559799
2024-11-01 1.1474235 0.6273071 1.8219770 0.6601235
2024-10-31 0.9912742 0.5122058 1.6258580 0.4495712
2024-10-30 1.0058250 0.5197245 1.6497239 0.4695679
2024-10-29 0.9387111 0.4686012 1.5693847 0.3774494
2024-10-28 0.6962211 0.3005789 1.2551714 0.1142379
2024-10-27 0.8005436 0.3660595 1.4021244 0.2111739
2024-10-26 0.9131886 0.4379094 1.5601647 0.3458913
2024-10-25 0.9441130 0.4527389 1.6129985 0.3863800
2024-10-24 0.9849184 0.4723067 1.6827138 0.4389248
2024-10-23 1.1418767 0.5700207 1.9090471 0.6288175
2024-10-22 1.3268424 0.6855988 2.1762469 0.7987160
2024-10-21 1.6639295 0.9096858 2.6421294 0.9519164
2024-10-20 1.9252280 1.0775355 3.0148584 0.9860076
2024-10-19 2.0720289 1.1596989 3.2447450 0.9923704
2024-10-18 1.7603346 0.9095906 2.8872477 0.9544941
2024-10-17 1.8300969 0.9456378 3.0016699 0.9642035
2024-10-16 2.0148391 1.0728169 3.2487862 0.9848108
2024-10-15 2.0134415 1.0720728 3.2465328 0.9847339
2024-10-14 1.9983795 1.0640529 3.2222462 0.9838790
2024-10-13 1.8356683 0.9485166 3.0108079 0.9648809
2024-10-12 1.8425254 0.9520598 3.0220546 0.9656967
2024-10-11 1.8690673 0.9657744 3.0655880 0.9686750
2024-10-10 1.9135191 0.9887433 3.1384964 0.9730800
2024-10-09 1.9700017 1.0179286 3.2311374 0.9777702
2024-10-08 2.0295666 1.0487067 3.3288341 0.9818065
2024-10-07 1.5606213 0.7136154 2.7333743 0.8703458
2024-10-06 1.2315283 0.4951382 2.2975874 0.6569163
2024-10-05 1.2308845 0.4948794 2.2963863 0.6564429
2024-10-04 1.0366862 0.3804455 2.0160664 0.4803578
2024-10-03 1.0025471 0.3679171 1.9496754 0.4481312
2024-10-02 1.1168401 0.4490276 2.0836205 0.5633902
2024-10-01 1.2078679 0.5214716 2.1775858 0.6546576
2024-09-30 1.1365748 0.4906923 2.0490561 0.5929488
2024-09-29 1.0666858 0.4605192 1.9230578 0.5246582
2024-09-28 0.8763162 0.3523246 1.6348898 0.3148441
2024-09-27 0.9433639 0.4072776 1.7007288 0.3881523
2024-09-26 0.8932678 0.3856496 1.6104139 0.3290893
2024-09-25 0.7445283 0.2993390 1.3890212 0.1725804
2024-09-24 0.6114660 0.2243972 1.1891314 0.0745213
2024-09-23 0.5894659 0.2163236 1.1463473 0.0606198
2024-09-22 0.5725065 0.2100998 1.1133660 0.0509624
2024-09-21 0.4678101 0.1518967 0.9582237 0.0186178
2024-09-20 0.6494753 0.2611228 1.2116866 0.0882127
2024-09-19 0.6515820 0.2619698 1.2156170 0.0898071
2024-09-18 0.5660621 0.2077348 1.1008335 0.0475400
2024-09-17 0.4816433 0.1563883 0.9865585 0.0228138
2024-09-16 0.7898722 0.3410107 1.4240087 0.2088920
2024-09-15 0.9113621 0.4167328 1.5962193 0.3470311
2024-09-14 0.9334439 0.4268300 1.6348947 0.3745687
2024-09-13 0.9547724 0.4365827 1.6722508 0.4009489
2024-09-12 0.9775274 0.4469878 1.7121055 0.4287216
2024-09-11 1.1178510 0.5360530 1.9098264 0.5945574
2024-09-10 1.1622213 0.5573303 1.9856322 0.6394011
2024-09-09 1.3479776 0.6729056 2.2536171 0.7996544
2024-09-08 1.7063677 0.9085689 2.7513978 0.9528435
2024-09-07 1.8557355 0.9881010 2.9922428 0.9728601
2024-09-06 1.7305160 0.8638674 2.8931642 0.9408584
2024-09-05 2.2795743 1.2137773 3.6756532 0.9940551
2024-09-04 2.3708522 1.2250539 3.8886003 0.9940212
2024-09-03 2.7054171 1.3979285 4.4373437 0.9978581
2024-09-02 2.6172512 1.2550737 4.4715222 0.9939858
2024-09-01 2.7996442 1.2801756 4.9034801 0.9941207
2024-08-31 4.1944811 2.0938698 7.0125455 0.9999066
2024-08-30 4.8569593 2.3291008 8.2980195 0.9999410
2024-08-29 7.1153903 3.5519772 11.8958692 0.9999993

1.4.6 Củ Chi

Figure 1.11: Diễn tiến Rt của Củ Chi
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.1084229 0.7101875 1.5938795 0.6653501
2024-12-26 1.1416398 0.7314702 1.6416444 0.7143348
2024-12-25 1.1292719 0.7158615 1.6353951 0.6918867
2024-12-24 1.0648580 0.6591639 1.5662732 0.5838669
2024-12-23 1.2551091 0.8041721 1.8048099 0.8421220
2024-12-22 1.3436447 0.8695360 1.9192674 0.9097783
2024-12-21 1.4286326 0.9332303 2.0278304 0.9504950
2024-12-20 1.3961267 0.9034996 1.9942328 0.9347577
2024-12-19 1.3550913 0.8682325 1.9485813 0.9110421
2024-12-18 1.4791201 0.9662104 2.0994933 0.9645760
2024-12-17 1.4308607 0.9259776 2.0438469 0.9475909
2024-12-16 1.4390598 0.9312836 2.0555586 0.9502544
2024-12-15 1.3308445 0.8436413 1.9273096 0.8920088
2024-12-14 1.4518388 0.9395535 2.0738123 0.9541530
2024-12-13 1.3373094 0.8477394 1.9366719 0.8958796
2024-12-12 1.2779704 0.8008972 1.8647174 0.8491386
2024-12-11 1.2760561 0.7996976 1.8619243 0.8476161
2024-12-10 1.2184694 0.7542518 1.7922164 0.7889160
2024-12-09 1.1077105 0.6669141 1.6585201 0.6410320
2024-12-08 1.0615161 0.6291217 1.6051684 0.5681747
2024-12-07 1.0222896 0.5955214 1.5624793 0.5037728
2024-12-06 1.1744588 0.7071009 1.7584590 0.7274425
2024-12-05 1.2791952 0.7813656 1.8977406 0.8368790
2024-12-04 1.2626975 0.7602264 1.8905745 0.8161266
2024-12-03 1.2450313 0.7378845 1.8826705 0.7930434
2024-12-02 1.2237193 0.7128616 1.8703469 0.7651864
2024-12-01 1.4223651 0.8563567 2.1296369 0.9149624
2024-11-30 1.3228230 0.7705932 2.0218181 0.8459974
2024-11-29 1.3745232 0.8007104 2.1008372 0.8775105
2024-11-28 1.5115530 0.8958421 2.2856904 0.9404819
2024-11-27 1.5689083 0.9298345 2.3724200 0.9550734
2024-11-26 1.7180770 1.0343946 2.5723917 0.9814434
2024-11-25 1.7817955 1.0727573 2.6677942 0.9866962
2024-11-24 1.9432844 1.1870086 2.8829454 0.9953035
2024-11-23 1.9077828 1.1486099 2.8564289 0.9930981
2024-11-22 1.7555952 1.0226989 2.6832721 0.9792003
2024-11-21 1.5829629 0.8859723 2.4788799 0.9410113
2024-11-20 1.7136407 0.9794937 2.6497404 0.9706526
2024-11-19 1.8370512 1.0701500 2.8077704 0.9858320
2024-11-18 1.6291605 0.9118287 2.5512241 0.9514312
2024-11-17 1.4167370 0.7543528 2.2843887 0.8625926
2024-11-16 1.5303285 0.8366448 2.4299863 0.9184280
2024-11-15 1.4239215 0.7581782 2.2959733 0.8661316
2024-11-14 1.4209717 0.7566076 2.2912169 0.8646891
2024-11-13 1.4048620 0.7480298 2.2652410 0.8565503
2024-11-12 1.2634294 0.6528324 2.0722389 0.7522073
2024-11-11 1.2096054 0.6250207 1.9839583 0.7057710
2024-11-10 0.9494942 0.4553194 1.6221923 0.3933833
2024-11-09 0.9721863 0.4853119 1.6253502 0.4229017
2024-11-08 0.8171993 0.3918788 1.3961689 0.2223066
2024-11-07 0.7537252 0.3614406 1.2877248 0.1488645
2024-11-06 0.6256500 0.2860870 1.0958044 0.0512625
2024-11-05 0.6419378 0.3078341 1.0967381 0.0531687
2024-11-04 0.5939232 0.2848093 1.0147061 0.0284136
2024-11-03 0.6610362 0.3415670 1.0842116 0.0512382
2024-11-02 0.5124229 0.2457267 0.8754645 0.0066099
2024-11-01 0.4782216 0.2293259 0.8170323 0.0029174
2024-10-31 0.4031327 0.1843380 0.7060730 0.0004654
2024-10-30 0.3370473 0.1455131 0.6076405 0.0000575
2024-10-29 0.3185957 0.1375470 0.5743753 0.0000211
2024-10-28 0.3786552 0.1815799 0.6469250 0.0000864
2024-10-27 0.3987462 0.1990526 0.6666440 0.0001122
2024-10-26 0.3847438 0.1920627 0.6432341 0.0000578
2024-10-25 0.3745710 0.1869845 0.6262267 0.0000343
2024-10-24 0.4687612 0.2562761 0.7443390 0.0004406
2024-10-23 0.4658126 0.2546641 0.7396570 0.0003943
2024-10-22 0.5011429 0.2804859 0.7847772 0.0009565
2024-10-21 0.6096277 0.3613040 0.9218467 0.0090557
2024-10-20 0.5883867 0.3427570 0.8992971 0.0066527
2024-10-19 0.6764357 0.4072585 1.0127938 0.0289455
2024-10-18 0.7733262 0.4787011 1.1374663 0.0964802
2024-10-17 0.8810055 0.5584819 1.2758593 0.2452468
2024-10-16 0.9627439 0.6168482 1.3843974 0.3993304
2024-10-15 1.0592452 0.6854876 1.5130300 0.5862870
2024-10-14 1.1753499 0.7677776 1.6683157 0.7691188
2024-10-13 1.4624520 0.9867102 2.0303142 0.9709761
2024-10-12 1.5924967 1.0744509 2.2108546 0.9893409
2024-10-11 1.8046471 1.2261702 2.4931413 0.9983081
2024-10-10 2.1766839 1.5074169 2.9669654 0.9999619
2024-10-09 2.3874321 1.6533661 3.2542292 0.9999939
2024-10-08 2.4435315 1.6713737 3.3600104 0.9999928
2024-10-07 2.4558767 1.6569697 3.4094803 0.9999877
2024-10-06 2.6696277 1.8138825 3.6881222 0.9999982
2024-10-05 2.5716745 1.7222908 3.5886206 0.9999926
2024-10-04 2.5936332 1.7369968 3.6192627 0.9999937
2024-10-03 2.4817006 1.6490720 3.4817889 0.9999804
2024-10-02 2.4288276 1.6139383 3.4076090 0.9999716
2024-10-01 2.3611712 1.5689811 3.3126880 0.9999542
2024-09-30 2.0473849 1.3249596 2.9244926 0.9991300
2024-09-29 1.5963914 0.9751174 2.3683148 0.9688008
2024-09-28 1.6440072 1.0176664 2.4181293 0.9787469
2024-09-27 1.5460651 0.9443767 2.2936535 0.9590425
2024-09-26 1.0744908 0.5874341 1.7061682 0.5698093
2024-09-25 1.0702215 0.5851001 1.6993892 0.5640958
2024-09-24 0.9910833 0.5277101 1.5980521 0.4503059
2024-09-23 0.9130511 0.4717868 1.4975590 0.3388396
2024-09-22 0.8372558 0.4179551 1.3997665 0.2400076
2024-09-21 0.8423804 0.4205133 1.4083342 0.2467152
2024-09-20 0.7781966 0.3731755 1.3295335 0.1759347
2024-09-19 0.8814624 0.4400228 1.4736733 0.2990623
2024-09-18 1.0040022 0.5187826 1.6467342 0.4670789
2024-09-17 1.1477947 0.6111524 1.8507382 0.6525441
2024-09-16 1.2157446 0.6473328 1.9603026 0.7217715
2024-09-15 1.4786293 0.8275776 2.3154961 0.9087968
2024-09-14 1.4383234 0.7863448 2.2838927 0.8831058
2024-09-13 1.4806689 0.8094955 2.3511326 0.9008784
2024-09-12 1.5128747 0.8271027 2.4022717 0.9126325
2024-09-11 1.4365647 0.7649102 2.3163595 0.8721518
2024-09-10 1.4830987 0.7896876 2.3913922 0.8921695
2024-09-09 1.5564183 0.8287272 2.5096149 0.9177240
2024-09-08 1.7949365 0.9813085 2.8501534 0.9713873
2024-09-07 2.3824722 1.3878779 3.6413982 0.9988277
2024-09-06 2.6497901 1.5436004 4.0499700 0.9996277
2024-09-05 2.6305370 1.4722916 4.1193546 0.9991443
2024-09-04 2.5791258 1.3732758 4.1586588 0.9978382
2024-09-03 2.4753800 1.2357008 4.1384654 0.9938977
2024-09-02 2.5667872 1.2308742 4.3853055 0.9931577
2024-09-01 2.9686192 1.4235683 5.0718276 0.9974623
2024-08-31 3.1649188 1.4472024 5.5432459 0.9973081
2024-08-30 4.2996687 2.0618583 7.3458994 0.9998427
2024-08-29 5.9871527 2.9887651 10.0096246 0.9999962
2024-08-28 7.8337281 3.9105688 13.0968226 0.9999997
2024-08-27 10.5381853 5.2606241 17.6182709 1.0000000

1.4.7 Quận 12

Figure 1.12: Diễn tiến Rt của Quận 12
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-28 1.0084485 0.7890489 1.254354 0.5127492
2024-12-27 1.0828575 0.8545742 1.337756 0.7425169
2024-12-26 0.9902599 0.7719562 1.235334 0.4515102
2024-12-25 0.9539967 0.7393344 1.195603 0.3339195
2024-12-24 0.9889927 0.7694953 1.235613 0.4474067
2024-12-23 0.9529974 0.7370482 1.196269 0.3317234
2024-12-22 0.9623126 0.7442525 1.207962 0.3612886
2024-12-21 0.9760472 0.7548749 1.225203 0.4056602
2024-12-20 1.0115339 0.7839249 1.267711 0.5210994
2024-12-19 1.0253592 0.7930127 1.287103 0.5641400
2024-12-18 1.1766252 0.9222863 1.461467 0.9054884
2024-12-17 1.3132633 1.0380802 1.620311 0.9882037
2024-12-16 1.2709786 0.9944625 1.580900 0.9723461
2024-12-15 1.4057438 1.1075662 1.738926 0.9972002
2024-12-14 1.4080696 1.1037018 1.748940 0.9967964
2024-12-13 1.4177916 1.1073070 1.766065 0.9969214
2024-12-12 1.4162972 1.1019637 1.769473 0.9964428
2024-12-11 1.5117536 1.1828541 1.880387 0.9994032
2024-12-10 1.5005788 1.1697748 1.871949 0.9991539
2024-12-09 1.5103574 1.1751482 1.886988 0.9992212
2024-12-08 1.6325182 1.2796337 2.027724 0.9999363
2024-12-07 1.6441712 1.2864627 2.045094 0.9999424
2024-12-06 1.7214994 1.3517473 2.135277 0.9999891
2024-12-05 1.7229066 1.3504838 2.139994 0.9999879
2024-12-04 1.6197592 1.2578064 2.026786 0.9998634
2024-12-03 1.4112307 1.0742942 1.793422 0.9930089
2024-12-02 1.2924487 0.9709273 1.659248 0.9609310
2024-12-01 1.1724949 0.8674182 1.522833 0.8501105
2024-11-30 1.2227668 0.9104302 1.580456 0.9102404
2024-11-29 1.2071416 0.8959638 1.563987 0.8930298
2024-11-28 1.2483771 0.9294987 1.613558 0.9306019
2024-11-27 1.2754500 0.9496563 1.648551 0.9476214
2024-11-26 1.1841538 0.8669494 1.550045 0.8565981
2024-11-25 1.3333294 0.9896228 1.727478 0.9708170
2024-11-24 1.2488561 0.9109242 1.639275 0.9172679
2024-11-23 1.3033447 0.9506686 1.710798 0.9506660
2024-11-22 1.2410941 0.8906306 1.648798 0.9000791
2024-11-21 1.2668820 0.9050791 1.688573 0.9170763
2024-11-20 1.3944721 1.0050128 1.846717 0.9766529
2024-11-19 1.4318607 1.0275280 1.902232 0.9828001
2024-11-18 1.5869209 1.1484625 2.095171 0.9971044
2024-11-17 1.7239541 1.2526277 2.269379 0.9994431
2024-11-16 1.8353008 1.3335324 2.415953 0.9998444
2024-11-15 1.9963304 1.4561371 2.620425 0.9999800
2024-11-14 2.1114698 1.5401206 2.771560 0.9999948
2024-11-13 2.1137246 1.5297130 2.790697 0.9999919
2024-11-12 2.1380683 1.5409316 2.831471 0.9999921
2024-11-11 1.9813184 1.4020988 2.659118 0.9999035
2024-11-10 2.0119259 1.4237585 2.700197 0.9999288
2024-11-09 1.7644509 1.2145668 2.415397 0.9982493
2024-11-08 1.8310500 1.2680553 2.495843 0.9991692
2024-11-07 1.8983699 1.3222842 2.576988 0.9996212
2024-11-06 1.7524669 1.1986861 2.409753 0.9977532
2024-11-05 1.7788007 1.2166984 2.445964 0.9982023
2024-11-04 1.7056561 1.1507990 2.367953 0.9956366
2024-11-03 1.5838864 1.0437911 2.234806 0.9843500
2024-11-02 1.4644109 0.9382757 2.105780 0.9541989
2024-11-01 1.3405213 0.8298038 1.971739 0.8860841
2024-10-31 1.3394055 0.8181437 1.987065 0.8789753
2024-10-30 1.4059137 0.8587686 2.085733 0.9139042
2024-10-29 1.5495071 0.9591693 2.279132 0.9636934
2024-10-28 1.5515311 0.9477155 2.301763 0.9602315
2024-10-27 1.4749792 0.8741661 2.230385 0.9288986
2024-10-26 1.6572334 0.9977628 2.481294 0.9745113
2024-10-25 1.7803676 1.0718976 2.665656 0.9865967
2024-10-24 2.0298446 1.2398818 3.011361 0.9970593
2024-10-23 2.2068814 1.3480205 3.274003 0.9988553
2024-10-22 2.5097956 1.5536030 3.691596 0.9998288
2024-10-21 2.6839112 1.6613833 3.947698 0.9999305
2024-10-20 2.4116797 1.4293142 3.646814 0.9992515
2024-10-19 2.3357925 1.3606852 3.570052 0.9985599
2024-10-18 2.2133706 1.2651325 3.422455 0.9967301
2024-10-17 2.2036058 1.2595511 3.407356 0.9965911
2024-10-16 1.9123625 1.0455064 3.036612 0.9819747
2024-10-15 2.0352176 1.1390958 3.187099 0.9911262
2024-10-14 2.0296881 1.1360010 3.178440 0.9909220
2024-10-13 1.8972224 1.0372291 3.012572 0.9808732
2024-10-12 1.9059524 1.0420019 3.026434 0.9815165
2024-10-11 1.7806153 0.9481027 2.871117 0.9641904
2024-10-10 1.3780213 0.6608148 2.354322 0.8035325
2024-10-09 1.2462185 0.5698504 2.182709 0.6997431
2024-10-08 1.1109987 0.4796504 2.002947 0.5688330
2024-10-07 0.9731873 0.3912718 1.815616 0.4213877
2024-10-06 0.9732625 0.3913020 1.815757 0.4214681
2024-10-05 1.1125119 0.4803037 2.005675 0.5702885
2024-10-04 1.1133585 0.4806692 2.007201 0.5711012
2024-10-03 1.1133836 0.4806800 2.007246 0.5711252
2024-10-02 1.2471965 0.5702976 2.184422 0.7005020
2024-10-01 1.0935427 0.4721141 1.971477 0.5517868
2024-09-30 1.0638202 0.4592820 1.917892 0.5217009
2024-09-29 1.1468089 0.5243941 2.008596 0.6137732
2024-09-28 0.9651736 0.4166935 1.740048 0.4134439
2024-09-27 0.9086821 0.3923044 1.638203 0.3473507
2024-09-26 0.8566032 0.3698205 1.544314 0.2856911
2024-09-25 0.8129353 0.3509677 1.465588 0.2348971
2024-09-24 0.6815913 0.2740350 1.271603 0.1140101
2024-09-23 0.7541364 0.3255826 1.359583 0.1703445
2024-09-22 0.8290555 0.3790970 1.452062 0.2450480
2024-09-21 0.7253731 0.3131646 1.307727 0.1413409
2024-09-20 0.8070314 0.3690262 1.413488 0.2187693
2024-09-19 0.7112982 0.3070881 1.282353 0.1279426
2024-09-18 0.6183448 0.2486067 1.153608 0.0663663
2024-09-17 0.5282263 0.1938497 1.027253 0.0302220
2024-09-16 0.6175264 0.2482776 1.152081 0.0658365
2024-09-15 0.7124306 0.3075770 1.284395 0.1289996
2024-09-14 0.8153424 0.3728265 1.428044 0.2286014
2024-09-13 0.8341628 0.3814324 1.461007 0.2512360
2024-09-12 0.9495103 0.4553271 1.622220 0.3934042
2024-09-11 1.0654025 0.5318451 1.781194 0.5424821
2024-09-10 1.2723955 0.6774970 2.051648 0.7705611
2024-09-09 1.1730796 0.6061474 1.924050 0.6703989
2024-09-08 1.0631006 0.5306960 1.777345 0.5397006
2024-09-07 1.1406425 0.5893866 1.870847 0.6363187
2024-09-06 1.0301458 0.5142451 1.722250 0.4988275
2024-09-05 1.1166359 0.5769821 1.831473 0.6094916
2024-09-04 1.1245800 0.5810869 1.844502 0.6185184
2024-09-03 1.2466914 0.6638107 2.010202 0.7493991
2024-09-02 1.3960688 0.7632438 2.216797 0.8624027
2024-09-01 1.3674437 0.7281062 2.204907 0.8358558
2024-08-31 1.3473126 0.6961761 2.209822 0.8119731
2024-08-30 1.4521325 0.7503380 2.381744 0.8681058
2024-08-29 1.4482435 0.7229579 2.421247 0.8539197
2024-08-28 1.4495878 0.6951337 2.476592 0.8406362
2024-08-27 1.2989135 0.5607786 2.341726 0.7218154
2024-08-26 2.0492445 1.0229755 3.426031 0.9783189
2024-08-25 2.4260795 1.2110901 4.056042 0.9929688
2024-08-24 2.9824251 1.4888159 4.986169 0.9984659
2024-08-23 4.5207490 2.4071085 7.289390 0.9999896
2024-08-22 6.0662757 3.2300363 9.781443 0.9999996
2024-08-21 8.5166007 4.5347312 13.732419 1.0000000
2024-08-20 12.4522231 6.6302844 20.078333 1.0000000

1.4.8 Tân Phú

Figure 1.13: Diễn tiến Rt của Tân Phú
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.6205431 1.2869452 1.9920061 0.9999660
2024-12-26 1.6867231 1.3395016 2.0733559 0.9999911
2024-12-25 1.6452554 1.2962741 2.0352058 0.9999639
2024-12-24 1.7074735 1.3452949 2.1121706 0.9999890
2024-12-23 1.7452363 1.3727391 2.1617713 0.9999939
2024-12-22 1.6113039 1.2487384 2.0193771 0.9998251
2024-12-21 1.5627149 1.2008330 1.9715310 0.9994326
2024-12-20 1.6606980 1.2816916 2.0880485 0.9999036
2024-12-19 1.6569902 1.2732768 2.0904694 0.9998709
2024-12-18 1.7870239 1.3820841 2.2431979 0.9999897
2024-12-17 1.7561096 1.3494429 2.2155191 0.9999736
2024-12-16 1.6064790 1.2135169 2.0537129 0.9994061
2024-12-15 1.5928032 1.1965628 2.0448438 0.9991191
2024-12-14 1.6352580 1.2284561 2.0993474 0.9995052
2024-12-13 1.6444276 1.2317891 2.1157603 0.9995108
2024-12-12 1.5860138 1.1771700 2.0548584 0.9985586
2024-12-11 1.4243246 1.0349164 1.8749523 0.9847673
2024-12-10 1.5179996 1.1113665 1.9870463 0.9952869
2024-12-09 1.4119648 1.0176200 1.8698828 0.9803682
2024-12-08 1.5050554 1.0935755 1.9812247 0.9935617
2024-12-07 1.4928720 1.0803988 1.9710006 0.9920410
2024-12-06 1.3346229 0.9444586 1.7911913 0.9497444
2024-12-05 1.4173074 1.0125452 1.8890682 0.9788466
2024-12-04 1.3572201 0.9604497 1.8215189 0.9587435
2024-12-03 1.3699856 0.9694833 1.8386513 0.9631468
2024-12-02 1.3868101 0.9813894 1.8612315 0.9682867
2024-12-01 1.1856695 0.8109971 1.6303706 0.8097683
2024-11-30 1.1303830 0.7626647 1.5693047 0.7245203
2024-11-29 1.3399113 0.9332973 1.8188949 0.9444123
2024-11-28 1.3169377 0.9120177 1.7950740 0.9300911
2024-11-27 1.3227095 0.9160148 1.8029413 0.9331601
2024-11-26 1.2007417 0.8158457 1.6588389 0.8232029
2024-11-25 1.1102035 0.7435207 1.5492238 0.6882397
2024-11-24 1.0181386 0.6709598 1.4365568 0.5114982
2024-11-23 1.1157551 0.7527953 1.5489968 0.7011551
2024-11-22 1.1057284 0.7460303 1.5350767 0.6843905
2024-11-21 1.0655936 0.7136448 1.4869733 0.6088313
2024-11-20 1.0676650 0.7150320 1.4898637 0.6127528
2024-11-19 1.0728798 0.7185244 1.4971407 0.6225297
2024-11-18 1.1163564 0.7532010 1.5498315 0.7021412
2024-11-17 1.1603822 0.7884234 1.6030817 0.7726299
2024-11-16 1.0925428 0.7316930 1.5245793 0.6581079
2024-11-15 0.8357892 0.5237846 1.2195201 0.1742930
2024-11-14 0.8840462 0.5604094 1.2802628 0.2506930
2024-11-13 1.0151890 0.6631552 1.4409801 0.5044526
2024-11-12 0.9553038 0.6120811 1.3736987 0.3845400
2024-11-11 1.0159721 0.6574836 1.4512185 0.5048685
2024-11-10 1.3670251 0.9409972 1.8713518 0.9502802
2024-11-09 1.2189841 0.8163728 1.7010207 0.8338195
2024-11-08 1.1870926 0.7888144 1.6654732 0.7934354
2024-11-07 1.1911130 0.7914860 1.6711138 0.7982212
2024-11-06 1.1922595 0.7922478 1.6727223 0.7995697
2024-11-05 1.1951505 0.7941688 1.6767783 0.8029387
2024-11-04 1.1616668 0.7655457 1.6390698 0.7563848
2024-11-03 1.1378176 0.7432602 1.6150415 0.7184905
2024-11-02 1.2607354 0.8377495 1.7687930 0.8678403
2024-11-01 1.4073810 0.9495541 1.9538595 0.9562204
2024-10-31 1.4844469 1.0015501 2.0608496 0.9754331
2024-10-30 1.3716639 0.8960164 1.9469678 0.9283739
2024-10-29 1.4184356 0.9179367 2.0260989 0.9432985
2024-10-28 1.6588801 1.0932124 2.3406198 0.9908382
2024-10-27 1.4725295 0.9228264 2.1486033 0.9486559
2024-10-26 1.6135286 1.0111898 2.3543385 0.9775063
2024-10-25 2.0201163 1.3073127 2.8855420 0.9989571
2024-10-24 2.1458703 1.3748996 3.0856983 0.9994182
2024-10-23 2.3797319 1.5247391 3.4219844 0.9998641
2024-10-22 2.6367032 1.6893855 3.7915015 0.9999708
2024-10-21 3.3894092 2.2522378 4.7552905 0.9999999
2024-10-20 3.5579884 2.3447368 5.0201931 1.0000000
2024-10-19 3.5181970 2.2767916 5.0254063 0.9999999
2024-10-18 3.3747555 2.1393055 4.8872716 0.9999991
2024-10-17 3.1373321 1.9420580 4.6146237 0.9999925
2024-10-16 2.9859306 1.8238840 4.4297555 0.9999756
2024-10-15 3.0967628 1.9169450 4.5549515 0.9999909
2024-10-14 2.6064305 1.5447359 3.9413062 0.9996907
2024-10-13 1.9846734 1.0850394 3.1514339 0.9864037
2024-10-12 2.2141616 1.2655847 3.4236777 0.9967411
2024-10-11 1.7482683 0.9308792 2.8189596 0.9596327
2024-10-10 1.6883414 0.8989707 2.7223316 0.9495788
2024-10-09 1.3703763 0.6840869 2.2910644 0.8131975
2024-10-08 1.1889558 0.5701505 2.0313076 0.6645332
2024-10-07 0.7927267 0.3187172 1.4789419 0.2226804
2024-10-06 0.7557404 0.3038468 1.4099389 0.1839097
2024-10-05 0.7218996 0.2902411 1.3468042 0.1504594
2024-10-04 0.6902557 0.2775186 1.2877680 0.1214882
2024-10-03 0.6594135 0.2651184 1.2302276 0.0958580
2024-10-02 0.6286892 0.2527657 1.1729072 0.0732621
2024-10-01 0.6841274 0.2953577 1.2333684 0.1037629
2024-09-30 0.6521376 0.2815467 1.1756960 0.0784592
2024-09-29 0.7024529 0.3212062 1.2303220 0.1086588
2024-09-28 0.4517260 0.1657755 0.8784814 0.0089217
2024-09-27 0.5130864 0.2062873 0.9572340 0.0176701
2024-09-26 0.5763551 0.2488292 1.0390728 0.0337642
2024-09-25 0.5712381 0.2466201 1.0298477 0.0315386
2024-09-24 0.7121497 0.3415035 1.2166938 0.1074262
2024-09-23 0.7133613 0.3420845 1.2187638 0.1085432
2024-09-22 0.7173398 0.3439923 1.2255610 0.1122515
2024-09-21 0.7253407 0.3478290 1.2392303 0.1198925
2024-09-20 0.7402625 0.3549846 1.2647240 0.1347740
2024-09-19 0.7663145 0.3674776 1.3092332 0.1625688
2024-09-18 0.9703525 0.5013953 1.5915429 0.4203685
2024-09-17 0.9602676 0.4793621 1.6054240 0.4068106
2024-09-16 1.2552119 0.6683475 2.0239409 0.7565904
2024-09-15 1.6392257 0.9174622 2.5669860 0.9534479
2024-09-14 1.8922555 1.0590810 2.9632243 0.9839442
2024-09-13 2.3668155 1.3528395 3.6597208 0.9982860
2024-09-12 2.4594027 1.3445784 3.9052498 0.9977080
2024-09-11 3.3787719 1.9312601 5.2244722 0.9999631
2024-09-10 3.6072833 1.9721354 5.7279526 0.9999442
2024-09-09 4.4936045 2.4566954 7.1353291 0.9999948
2024-09-08 5.7602020 3.1491560 9.1465408 0.9999997
2024-09-07 8.7583654 5.0061626 13.5427423 1.0000000

1.4.9 Tân Bình

Figure 1.14: Diễn tiến Rt của Tân Bình
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.0137261 0.7306046 1.342490 0.5146094
2024-12-26 0.9974034 0.7157539 1.325054 0.4726015
2024-12-25 1.0281191 0.7409778 1.361551 0.5506523
2024-12-24 1.0318689 0.7436804 1.366517 0.5598769
2024-12-23 1.1061156 0.8068083 1.451911 0.7308029
2024-12-22 1.0050969 0.7212749 1.335275 0.4921874
2024-12-21 1.0486638 0.7589232 1.384524 0.6018276
2024-12-20 1.0662473 0.7747369 1.403587 0.6444754
2024-12-19 1.0360339 0.7497829 1.367849 0.5713301
2024-12-18 1.0564834 0.7676425 1.390734 0.6219689
2024-12-17 1.0806641 0.7882438 1.418502 0.6785756
2024-12-16 1.0856734 0.7918976 1.425078 0.6893167
2024-12-15 1.0232285 0.7374531 1.355074 0.5385128
2024-12-14 1.0391961 0.7489611 1.376221 0.5776771
2024-12-13 1.1125415 0.8083744 1.464527 0.7403249
2024-12-12 1.0922320 0.7871848 1.446457 0.6955461
2024-12-11 1.0768144 0.7692920 1.435240 0.6588414
2024-12-10 1.1501538 0.8253702 1.527983 0.7946563
2024-12-09 1.0891448 0.7668585 1.467083 0.6761352
2024-12-08 1.3378676 0.9682214 1.766352 0.9615049
2024-12-07 1.3910950 1.0025789 1.842245 0.9758636
2024-12-06 1.5260520 1.1044114 2.014807 0.9944092
2024-12-05 1.6061128 1.1575448 2.126995 0.9973880
2024-12-04 1.7385318 1.2529808 2.302360 0.9993778
2024-12-03 1.9776680 1.4369766 2.603363 0.9999696
2024-12-02 2.1982163 1.6033940 2.885425 0.9999981
2024-12-01 2.3843370 1.7391518 3.129731 0.9999998
2024-11-30 2.3459418 1.6834884 3.116592 0.9999989
2024-11-29 2.4590367 1.7567719 3.277544 0.9999995
2024-11-28 2.7642032 1.9921945 3.660669 1.0000000
2024-11-27 2.9560691 2.1304746 3.914760 1.0000000
2024-11-26 2.8615519 2.0250045 3.840476 1.0000000
2024-11-25 2.9002707 2.0313139 3.921531 1.0000000
2024-11-24 2.8375187 1.9532173 3.884344 0.9999998
2024-11-23 3.0131408 2.0741075 4.124757 0.9999999
2024-11-22 2.8872490 1.9480148 4.008352 0.9999995
2024-11-21 3.0143599 2.0337760 4.184819 0.9999998
2024-11-20 2.6961518 1.7612158 3.826973 0.9999904
2024-11-19 2.2196170 1.3739779 3.264779 0.9991825
2024-11-18 2.0242745 1.2187455 3.030846 0.9962184
2024-11-17 1.9179165 1.1366789 2.900172 0.9920371
2024-11-16 2.1215319 1.2958868 3.147383 0.9982007
2024-11-15 2.0006566 1.2045260 2.995484 0.9957301
2024-11-14 1.6672962 0.9530038 2.578079 0.9638993
2024-11-13 1.4383051 0.7863348 2.283864 0.8830975
2024-11-12 1.3116873 0.6984183 2.115003 0.7999254
2024-11-11 1.4820609 0.8294982 2.320870 0.9100852
2024-11-10 1.2554931 0.6684972 2.024394 0.7568247
2024-11-09 1.0370910 0.5177121 1.733861 0.5075985
2024-11-08 0.9194186 0.4408969 1.570809 0.3540693
2024-11-07 0.8066813 0.3688661 1.412874 0.2183575
2024-11-06 0.8751982 0.4196916 1.495259 0.2961216
2024-11-05 0.8582412 0.4115600 1.466288 0.2741403
2024-11-04 0.9317562 0.4651294 1.557757 0.3679275
2024-11-03 0.9263133 0.4624123 1.548657 0.3604657
2024-11-02 0.7586304 0.3468941 1.328715 0.1641777
2024-11-01 0.7637875 0.3492523 1.337748 0.1697397
2024-10-31 0.8584485 0.4116594 1.466642 0.2744075
2024-10-30 0.9586650 0.4785621 1.602745 0.4046380
2024-10-29 1.0644486 0.5500161 1.745877 0.5466602
2024-10-28 0.9043545 0.4336731 1.545072 0.3342912
2024-10-27 0.9232201 0.4427199 1.577303 0.3590565
2024-10-26 0.9439920 0.4526808 1.612792 0.3862223
2024-10-25 1.1608501 0.5998282 1.903991 0.6578447
2024-10-24 1.2920708 0.6879733 2.083373 0.7857046
2024-10-23 1.2282832 0.6346718 2.014593 0.7226412
2024-10-22 1.3729698 0.7310486 2.213817 0.8390763
2024-10-21 1.4195026 0.7558254 2.288848 0.8639652
2024-10-20 1.4723253 0.7839512 2.374021 0.8878205
2024-10-19 1.5347980 0.8172153 2.474754 0.9108742
2024-10-18 1.7335804 0.9477645 2.752727 0.9635217
2024-10-17 1.5665315 0.8094497 2.569378 0.9110303
2024-10-16 1.6540421 0.8546677 2.712910 0.9342832
2024-10-15 1.7392307 0.8986859 2.852634 0.9510562
2024-10-14 1.8095659 0.9350291 2.967995 0.9615890
2024-10-13 1.8526152 0.9572733 3.038604 0.9668618
2024-10-12 2.0163054 1.0735977 3.251151 0.9848911
2024-10-11 1.6847845 0.8410383 2.816708 0.9315296
2024-10-10 1.4960672 0.7174224 2.556001 0.8610248
2024-10-09 1.4585840 0.6994477 2.491962 0.8447963
2024-10-08 1.5750070 0.7862378 2.633176 0.9026043
2024-10-07 1.5656929 0.7815883 2.617605 0.8996490
2024-10-06 1.4346239 0.6879579 2.451027 0.8334779
2024-10-05 1.4615888 0.7008886 2.497096 0.8461622
2024-10-04 1.3472080 0.6160293 2.359588 0.7696985
2024-10-03 1.3800300 0.6310376 2.417075 0.7890005
2024-10-02 1.2537537 0.5412819 2.260310 0.6900968
2024-10-01 1.1192832 0.4500099 2.088179 0.5655756
2024-09-30 1.1429629 0.4595304 2.132356 0.5863245
2024-09-29 1.0049590 0.3688022 1.954366 0.4504469
2024-09-28 0.8661801 0.2812463 1.774212 0.3166650
2024-09-27 1.0863128 0.3986576 2.112576 0.5249343
2024-09-26 1.7187171 0.7859069 3.010274 0.9153717
2024-09-25 2.0206216 0.9689666 3.452192 0.9699850
2024-09-24 1.6976898 0.7329420 3.060654 0.8949046
2024-09-23 1.7489743 0.7550830 3.153111 0.9071842
2024-09-22 1.7552609 0.7577971 3.164445 0.9085828
2024-09-21 1.7201916 0.7426566 3.101221 0.9004890
2024-09-20 1.4552142 0.5850716 2.714905 0.7893644
2024-09-19 1.4048858 0.5648369 2.621010 0.7647216
2024-09-18 1.3670781 0.5496363 2.550474 0.7443734
2024-09-17 1.3481899 0.5420422 2.515236 0.7335822
2024-09-16 1.3505600 0.5429952 2.519658 0.7349598
2024-09-15 1.3741825 0.5524926 2.563729 0.7483227
2024-09-14 1.8220154 0.8331415 3.191197 0.9357788
2024-09-13 1.6860919 0.7279348 3.039744 0.8918999
2024-09-12 1.1019667 0.3578056 2.257178 0.5250308
2024-09-11 0.9215561 0.2510930 2.019883 0.3699195
2024-09-10 1.2004121 0.3897705 2.458825 0.5965912
2024-09-09 0.9974309 0.2717664 2.186187 0.4314599
2024-09-08 1.2924088 0.4196416 2.647264 0.6544611
2024-09-07 1.3381333 0.4344882 2.740922 0.6801531
2024-09-06 1.6595412 0.6090224 3.227346 0.8419840
2024-09-05 1.7100989 0.6275761 3.325667 0.8564789
2024-09-04 1.7571328 0.6448368 3.417135 0.8686844
2024-09-03 2.1037935 0.8458341 3.924920 0.9472065
2024-09-02 2.1611872 0.8689093 4.031995 0.9529721
2024-09-01 2.2257560 0.8948693 4.152457 0.9586442
2024-08-31 1.6416967 0.5330545 3.362716 0.8075386
2024-08-30 1.6975768 0.5511986 3.477177 0.8243569
2024-08-29 1.7531701 0.5692496 3.591049 0.8394923
2024-08-28 2.1618786 0.7933713 4.204253 0.9370175
2024-08-27 1.8337257 0.5954057 3.756053 0.8589107
2024-08-26 1.8405651 0.5976265 3.770062 0.8604341
2024-08-25 1.4537262 0.3960915 3.186304 0.7026966
2024-08-24 1.7664827 0.5735721 3.618318 0.8428978
2024-08-23 1.3587490 0.3702134 2.978131 0.6598019
2024-08-22 1.2994748 0.3540632 2.848213 0.6297252
2024-08-21 1.5519582 0.5039166 3.178903 0.7767310
2024-08-20 1.1875893 0.3235781 2.602980 0.5653289
2024-08-19 1.1384047 0.3101770 2.495176 0.5336817
2024-08-18 1.0955735 0.2985069 2.401298 0.5044154
2024-08-17 1.0623546 0.2894559 2.328488 0.4806260
2024-08-16 1.0430275 0.2841899 2.286127 0.4663529
2024-08-15 1.0416705 0.2838202 2.283152 0.4653390
2024-08-14 0.7962313 0.1642020 1.917508 0.2741456
2024-08-13 0.8296206 0.1710877 1.997917 0.2999045
2024-08-12 0.8847155 0.1824496 2.130598 0.3414946
2024-08-11 0.9667806 0.1993734 2.328229 0.4004963
2024-08-10 1.4452850 0.3937915 3.167802 0.6991326
2024-08-09 1.6640943 0.4534097 3.647392 0.7779471
2024-08-08 1.9675209 0.5360832 4.312448 0.8511173
2024-08-07 1.7904182 0.3692273 4.311737 0.7636536
2024-08-06 2.9723468 0.8098645 6.514844 0.9522039
2024-08-05 3.8049675 1.0367256 8.339797 0.9777067

1.4.10 Quận 7

Figure 1.15: Diễn tiến Rt của Quận 7
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 0.7706607 0.5367934 1.0461520 0.0478361
2024-12-26 0.7251695 0.4991733 0.9927011 0.0223834
2024-12-25 0.7289453 0.5017724 0.9978698 0.0242138
2024-12-24 0.7158338 0.4896298 0.9843167 0.0197055
2024-12-23 0.7988844 0.5564522 1.0844648 0.0755998
2024-12-22 0.9150044 0.6506576 1.2237121 0.2689261
2024-12-21 0.9223633 0.6527192 1.2378995 0.2881749
2024-12-20 1.0093584 0.7211004 1.3453305 0.5024113
2024-12-19 1.0523944 0.7518460 1.4026913 0.6053805
2024-12-18 1.1263926 0.8083187 1.4964166 0.7563742
2024-12-17 1.1775111 0.8450023 1.5643277 0.8329232
2024-12-16 1.4132142 1.0383766 1.8449226 0.9858115
2024-12-15 1.5139640 1.1162776 1.9713085 0.9958310
2024-12-14 1.5247931 1.1163402 1.9959389 0.9956374
2024-12-13 1.6047826 1.1749026 2.1006444 0.9982660
2024-12-12 1.7273150 1.2691661 2.2549749 0.9996429
2024-12-11 1.9364731 1.4372876 2.5089177 0.9999842
2024-12-10 2.0390680 1.5134356 2.6418410 0.9999958
2024-12-09 2.0982008 1.5522605 2.7251362 0.9999975
2024-12-08 1.9230945 1.3917530 2.5390124 0.9999317
2024-12-07 1.9015275 1.3645690 2.5261861 0.9998754
2024-12-06 1.9096535 1.3642845 2.5452953 0.9998631
2024-12-05 2.0510113 1.4781886 2.7161802 0.9999798
2024-12-04 1.8389460 1.2947877 2.4770689 0.9995291
2024-12-03 1.9644095 1.3968872 2.6271695 0.9999061
2024-12-02 1.6267951 1.1127266 2.2369462 0.9935279
2024-12-01 1.6351919 1.1184700 2.2484923 0.9939667
2024-11-30 1.6373164 1.1199232 2.2514137 0.9940730
2024-11-29 1.6849970 1.1598744 2.3066308 0.9965069
2024-11-28 1.4736413 0.9869207 2.0563798 0.9711245
2024-11-27 1.2619646 0.8166769 1.8025951 0.8535941
2024-11-26 1.2532578 0.8110424 1.7901584 0.8461099
2024-11-25 1.0973255 0.6876881 1.6011342 0.6395686
2024-11-24 1.0963004 0.6870456 1.5996383 0.6379780
2024-11-23 1.2016886 0.7699446 1.7279928 0.7893685
2024-11-22 1.1139262 0.6980917 1.6253567 0.6647090
2024-11-21 0.9790202 0.5894341 1.4658385 0.4328271
2024-11-20 1.1077942 0.6857421 1.6294270 0.6509279
2024-11-19 1.0864223 0.6636150 1.6117539 0.6142898
2024-11-18 1.2380731 0.7758938 1.8065023 0.8145795
2024-11-17 1.1148466 0.6712105 1.6692046 0.6510703
2024-11-16 1.2313983 0.7521701 1.8268319 0.7949778
2024-11-15 1.2344468 0.7432176 1.8482762 0.7907739
2024-11-14 1.3771317 0.8411878 2.0430336 0.9001129
2024-11-13 1.5369029 0.9513671 2.2605923 0.9610274
2024-11-12 1.5584103 0.9519175 2.3119683 0.9616803
2024-11-11 1.9103718 1.2110119 2.7665726 0.9968313
2024-11-10 2.0400446 1.2932133 2.9543628 0.9985769
2024-11-09 1.9015625 1.1615238 2.8210492 0.9941073
2024-11-08 2.0518582 1.2533283 3.0440192 0.9973877
2024-11-07 2.4573874 1.5400316 3.5856333 0.9998372
2024-11-06 2.5781644 1.5959244 3.7921579 0.9998802
2024-11-05 2.7178949 1.6601608 4.0321131 0.9999137
2024-11-04 2.8633113 1.7239005 4.2870945 0.9999340
2024-11-03 3.1599146 1.9024750 4.7311838 0.9999819
2024-11-02 3.2687263 1.9372544 4.9427948 0.9999808
2024-11-01 3.3252646 1.9370892 5.0823730 0.9999739
2024-10-31 3.1175227 1.7448538 4.8819618 0.9998489
2024-10-30 3.0541249 1.6697185 4.8496004 0.9996981
2024-10-29 3.1711199 1.7336808 5.0353751 0.9997919
2024-10-28 2.7925179 1.4429348 4.5802038 0.9983428
2024-10-27 3.0711770 1.6352724 4.9520568 0.9995374
2024-10-26 3.0714158 1.6353996 4.9524418 0.9995377
2024-10-25 2.7833030 1.4381733 4.5650897 0.9982975
2024-10-24 2.2325091 1.0705749 3.8141979 0.9833826
2024-10-23 1.9029306 0.8701411 3.3329173 0.9481405
2024-10-22 1.3899241 0.5588216 2.5930968 0.7568645
2024-10-21 1.3055367 0.5248934 2.4356603 0.7076031
2024-10-20 1.2345967 0.4963719 2.3033120 0.6591651
2024-10-19 1.0109816 0.3710124 1.9660781 0.4562041
2024-10-18 0.8137871 0.2642344 1.6668945 0.2662296
2024-10-17 0.7940996 0.2578420 1.6265684 0.2473332
2024-10-16 0.9377255 0.3441287 1.8236153 0.3839725
2024-10-15 0.9286553 0.3408001 1.8059764 0.3747421
2024-10-14 0.7699284 0.2499936 1.5770579 0.2243311
2024-10-13 0.6151591 0.1676102 1.3483170 0.1116858
2024-10-12 0.6172120 0.1681695 1.3528166 0.1131808
2024-10-11 0.6235474 0.1698957 1.3667026 0.1178407
2024-10-10 0.7953134 0.2582361 1.6290546 0.2484950
2024-10-09 0.8217165 0.2668091 1.6831366 0.2738631
2024-10-08 1.0320568 0.3787467 2.0070636 0.4760592
2024-10-07 1.0911054 0.4004165 2.1218967 0.5290883
2024-10-06 1.3503204 0.5428988 2.5192106 0.7348208
2024-10-05 1.4231478 0.5721792 2.6550802 0.7739758
2024-10-04 1.4740505 0.5926448 2.7500464 0.7979131
2024-10-03 1.7000210 0.7339484 3.0648564 0.8954980
2024-10-02 1.4580664 0.5862183 2.7202257 0.7906817
2024-10-01 1.3937658 0.5603661 2.6002641 0.7589060
2024-09-30 1.3116824 0.5273643 2.4471260 0.7114876
2024-09-29 1.2294667 0.4943094 2.2937411 0.6553981
2024-09-28 1.3250001 0.5720410 2.3887558 0.7387683
2024-09-27 1.2647315 0.5460213 2.2801015 0.6980903
2024-09-26 1.2235458 0.5282402 2.2058505 0.6671381
2024-09-25 1.1964635 0.5165480 2.1570256 0.6453336
2024-09-24 1.0301170 0.4141605 1.9218266 0.4806284
2024-09-23 0.8711606 0.3197006 1.6941652 0.3153246
2024-09-22 0.8613241 0.3160908 1.6750359 0.3050693
2024-09-21 0.7127699 0.2314345 1.4599793 0.1716379
2024-09-20 0.7136112 0.2317076 1.4617025 0.1723889
2024-09-19 0.5784599 0.1576109 1.2678790 0.0863102
2024-09-18 0.5948726 0.1620828 1.3038527 0.0973291
2024-09-17 0.6216005 0.1693652 1.3624352 0.1164013
2024-09-16 1.1538372 0.4639024 2.1526438 0.5955883
2024-09-15 1.4146027 0.6107250 2.5502945 0.7899202
2024-09-14 1.3340757 0.5363676 2.4889038 0.7252365
2024-09-13 1.6371631 0.7068108 2.9515339 0.8782106
2024-09-12 1.5209048 0.6114826 2.8374595 0.8176951
2024-09-11 1.5903496 0.6394030 2.9670185 0.8434536
2024-09-10 1.6388049 0.6588846 3.0574185 0.8591771
2024-09-09 1.9082196 0.8238338 3.4402040 0.9365774
2024-09-08 1.9291120 0.8328536 3.4778695 0.9396289
2024-09-07 1.9399517 0.8375334 3.4974117 0.9411500
2024-09-06 1.9430410 0.8388672 3.5029813 0.9415760
2024-09-05 2.1817171 0.9976200 3.8212021 0.9746715
2024-09-04 2.1712010 0.9928114 3.8027836 0.9739936
2024-09-03 2.1582967 0.9869107 3.7801821 0.9731351
2024-09-02 1.4336548 0.5261260 2.7880600 0.7555715
2024-09-01 1.4385127 0.5279088 2.7975073 0.7578699
2024-08-31 1.4602759 0.5358955 2.8398306 0.7679008
2024-08-30 1.2538144 0.4071101 2.5682103 0.6312143
2024-08-29 1.3129535 0.4263124 2.6893458 0.6662479
2024-08-28 1.3975611 0.4537843 2.8626493 0.7107048
2024-08-27 1.5128149 0.4912069 3.0987256 0.7616609
2024-08-26 1.6678381 0.5415425 3.4162624 0.8156172
2024-08-25 1.8764538 0.6092794 3.8435735 0.8681306
2024-08-24 2.1572153 0.7004419 4.4186623 0.9141544
2024-08-23 2.5352749 0.8231969 5.1930486 0.9498227
2024-08-22 2.4396180 0.6647138 5.3471994 0.9156344
2024-08-21 3.0145487 0.8213631 6.6073430 0.9541731
2024-08-20 5.7771340 2.1201064 11.2349196 0.9992781
2024-08-19 7.6730312 2.8158672 14.9219127 0.9998368
2024-08-18 8.7857428 2.8527068 17.9959928 0.9996894
2024-08-17 12.1224202 3.9361168 24.8305682 0.9999293
2024-08-16 15.7547384 5.1155207 32.2707101 0.9999794
2024-08-15 17.9684881 5.8343192 36.8051729 0.9999890
2024-08-14 17.7146798 5.7519083 36.2852927 0.9999882
2024-08-13 15.7871869 5.1260566 32.3371750 0.9999796
2024-08-12 10.6786136 2.9095628 23.4055804 0.9993909
2024-08-11 6.6097564 1.3630907 15.9178084 0.9888689
2024-08-10 5.4183740 1.1173990 13.0486865 0.9812139
2024-08-09 4.4745959 0.9227692 10.7758525 0.9693544
2024-08-08 3.7658995 0.7766190 9.0691493 0.9530618
2024-08-07 3.2564026 0.6715485 7.8421638 0.9335968
2024-08-06 0.9682017 0.0245127 3.5715793 0.3559936
2024-08-05 0.8903499 0.0225417 3.2843936 0.3252524
2024-08-04 0.8399056 0.0212646 3.0983104 0.3040357
2024-08-03 0.8059096 0.0204039 2.9729035 0.2891430
2024-08-02 0.7789772 0.0197220 2.8735528 0.2770009
2024-08-01 0.7526484 0.0190554 2.7764292 0.2648368
2024-07-31 0.7244604 0.0183417 2.6724471 0.2514936
2024-07-30 0.6955862 0.0176107 2.5659335 0.2374884
2024-07-29 0.6693706 0.0169470 2.4692273 0.2244862
2024-07-28 0.6498757 0.0164534 2.3973130 0.2146480
2024-07-27 0.6409130 0.0162265 2.3642509 0.2100785
2024-07-26 0.6454151 0.0163405 2.3808585 0.2123774
2024-07-25 1.3296762 0.1610300 3.7042408 0.5564455
2024-07-24 1.3966592 0.1691419 3.8908435 0.5808404
2024-07-23 1.4837982 0.1796948 4.1335972 0.6099525
2024-07-22 1.5777989 0.1910788 4.3954665 0.6383480
2024-07-21 1.6665560 0.2018277 4.6427279 0.6625985
2024-07-20 1.7483178 0.2117294 4.8705018 0.6829705
2024-07-19 1.8350200 0.2222294 5.1120386 0.7027268
2024-07-18 1.9478051 0.2358882 5.4262377 0.7259021
2024-07-17 2.1123895 0.2558202 5.8847404 0.7553224
2024-07-16 2.3600825 0.2858169 6.5747689 0.7916518
2024-07-15 2.7335550 0.3310462 7.6151970 0.8331226

1.4.11 Quận 6

Figure 1.16: Diễn tiến Rt của Quận 6
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.4950208 0.9001002 2.2384207 0.9410861
2024-12-26 1.3773110 0.8162818 2.0826967 0.8866348
2024-12-25 1.1820109 0.6756214 1.8277005 0.7143591
2024-12-24 1.2093672 0.7045009 1.8484108 0.7509694
2024-12-23 1.1664247 0.6794854 1.7827771 0.7043290
2024-12-22 1.1304463 0.6585266 1.7277872 0.6604396
2024-12-21 0.9736529 0.5449461 1.5247159 0.4247010
2024-12-20 0.9589925 0.5367408 1.5017580 0.4015995
2024-12-19 0.8907216 0.4869658 1.4143638 0.2980989
2024-12-18 0.9602686 0.5374550 1.5037564 0.4036166
2024-12-17 0.8467441 0.4508556 1.3653152 0.2394063
2024-12-16 0.8037508 0.4153098 1.3182878 0.1894352
2024-12-15 0.8347604 0.4313329 1.3691489 0.2296520
2024-12-14 0.8017654 0.4002384 1.3404320 0.1950092
2024-12-13 0.9997298 0.5323140 1.6119939 0.4627185
2024-12-12 1.1403199 0.6234235 1.8106974 0.6519589
2024-12-11 1.2073808 0.6600863 1.9171825 0.7234386
2024-12-10 1.1812547 0.6289684 1.9046900 0.6881223
2024-12-09 1.5184347 0.8679166 2.3479004 0.9300250
2024-12-08 1.6665899 0.9708500 2.5472354 0.9683411
2024-12-07 1.7019070 0.9914236 2.6012145 0.9732007
2024-12-06 1.7192362 1.0015185 2.6277006 0.9753058
2024-12-05 1.8218849 1.0797644 2.7549578 0.9871923
2024-12-04 1.7103896 0.9963650 2.6141793 0.9742526
2024-12-03 1.6938707 0.9867421 2.5889317 0.9721647
2024-12-02 1.6759063 0.9762772 2.5614747 0.9697022
2024-12-01 1.6588562 0.9663449 2.5354152 0.9671652
2024-11-30 1.5458957 0.8836130 2.3903624 0.9380224
2024-11-29 1.2430095 0.6618502 2.0042653 0.7462367
2024-11-28 1.1342102 0.5860629 1.8602973 0.6292634
2024-11-27 1.1201354 0.5787903 1.8372124 0.6134861
2024-11-26 1.1982851 0.6380364 1.9321504 0.7051190
2024-11-25 0.9109333 0.4368279 1.5563116 0.3429299
2024-11-24 0.9016532 0.4323778 1.5404568 0.3307450
2024-11-23 0.8948384 0.4291098 1.5288138 0.3218033
2024-11-22 0.8921424 0.4278170 1.5242078 0.3182690
2024-11-21 0.8959644 0.4296498 1.5307376 0.3232802
2024-11-20 1.0906381 0.5635486 1.7888318 0.5789405
2024-11-19 1.0260580 0.5122045 1.7154156 0.4936281
2024-11-18 1.0653979 0.5318428 1.7811861 0.5424766
2024-11-17 1.0160516 0.4872362 1.7359042 0.4778440
2024-11-16 1.1826022 0.5903508 1.9771341 0.6696955
2024-11-15 1.2612299 0.6296014 2.1085879 0.7384383
2024-11-14 1.4804780 0.7649846 2.4282354 0.8803105
2024-11-13 1.6119216 0.8329034 2.6438253 0.9239628
2024-11-12 1.6354484 0.8164100 2.7342253 0.9197848
2024-11-11 1.8514037 0.9242141 3.0952703 0.9597509
2024-11-10 2.1584007 1.0774658 3.6085234 0.9844715
2024-11-09 3.0820155 1.6410435 4.9695332 0.9995521
2024-11-08 3.8736458 2.0625532 6.2459812 0.9999498
2024-11-07 5.4432997 2.9759026 8.6433362 0.9999994
2024-11-06 6.2455502 3.2271669 10.2437633 0.9999991
2024-11-05 8.3539312 4.3165981 13.7018662 1.0000000
2024-11-04 10.7198896 5.5391234 17.5824400 1.0000000
2024-11-03 11.5963829 5.7888726 19.3874191 1.0000000
2024-11-02 11.2225017 5.3816258 19.1734236 1.0000000
2024-11-01 10.9526165 5.2522053 18.7123300 1.0000000
2024-10-31 9.1477381 4.1829284 16.0219474 0.9999990
2024-10-30 8.3478498 3.8171685 14.6209707 0.9999979
2024-10-29 7.6355884 3.4914772 13.3734693 0.9999958
2024-10-28 7.0279635 3.2136324 12.3092354 0.9999919
2024-10-27 5.0264617 2.0208983 9.3775638 0.9993965
2024-10-26 2.6072500 0.7103879 5.7146181 0.9299941
2024-10-25 2.3137435 0.6304172 5.0713053 0.9024553
2024-10-24 1.0010346 0.1212299 2.7887039 0.4065656
2024-10-23 0.8486630 0.1027770 2.3642239 0.3179996
2024-10-22 0.7116875 0.0861887 1.9826344 0.2293434
2024-10-21 0.2984303 0.0075556 1.1008734 0.0350540
2024-10-20 0.2527812 0.0063999 0.9324794 0.0191397
2024-10-19 0.2178481 0.0055154 0.8036153 0.0101493
2024-10-18 0.3836666 0.0464638 1.0688269 0.0338357
2024-10-17 0.3456707 0.0418623 0.9629770 0.0208373
2024-10-16 0.3183366 0.0385520 0.8868291 0.0136071
2024-10-15 0.2989821 0.0362081 0.8329108 0.0095661
2024-10-14 0.2856945 0.0345989 0.7958938 0.0072920
2024-10-13 0.2773176 0.0335844 0.7725573 0.0060581
2024-10-12 0.2733746 0.0331069 0.7615729 0.0055288
2024-10-11 0.2739648 0.0331784 0.7632170 0.0056059
2024-10-10 0.2796794 0.0338705 0.7791369 0.0063908
2024-10-09 0.2915659 0.0353100 0.8122507 0.0082480
2024-10-08 0.3111333 0.0376797 0.8667618 0.0120001
2024-10-07 0.6806887 0.1854648 1.4919459 0.1625787
2024-10-06 0.7629454 0.2078770 1.6722378 0.2325774
2024-10-05 1.3097518 0.4806558 2.5471032 0.6890312
2024-10-04 1.5188198 0.5573801 2.9536823 0.7928282
2024-10-03 2.0562347 0.8267130 3.8361919 0.9418398
2024-10-02 2.3506226 0.9450722 4.3854135 0.9675915
2024-10-01 2.9829404 1.2878219 5.3777476 0.9936274
2024-09-30 3.1971186 1.3802889 5.7638754 0.9957309
2024-09-29 3.3217752 1.4341068 5.9886107 0.9965919
2024-09-28 3.8050325 1.7399032 6.6643831 0.9992206
2024-09-27 3.8370452 1.7545414 6.7204521 0.9992646
2024-09-26 3.8537959 1.7622009 6.7497904 0.9992865
2024-09-25 3.8572862 1.7637969 6.7559036 0.9992910
2024-09-24 3.8410731 1.7563832 6.7275069 0.9992699
2024-09-23 2.9582504 1.1893701 5.5190277 0.9891979
2024-09-22 2.9204095 1.1741561 5.4484302 0.9884798
2024-09-21 2.0644405 0.6703182 4.2286302 0.9013569
2024-09-20 1.6500848 0.4495926 3.6166859 0.7736670
2024-09-19 1.2571832 0.2592614 3.0275853 0.5732956
2024-09-18 1.3064439 0.2694201 3.1462164 0.5970176
2024-09-17 1.3940417 0.2874849 3.3571719 0.6356064
2024-09-16 1.5270377 0.3149119 3.6774569 0.6862604
2024-09-15 2.2764807 0.6202644 4.9896319 0.8980851
2024-09-14 1.9265374 0.3972983 4.6395437 0.7943581
2024-09-13 2.1629364 0.4460495 5.2088468 0.8366298
2024-09-12 2.3889659 0.4926622 5.7531775 0.8671731
2024-09-11 2.5875814 0.5336215 6.2314892 0.8881736
2024-09-10 2.7623597 0.5696650 6.6523953 0.9032139
2024-09-09 2.9290368 0.6040378 7.0537921 0.9151887
2024-09-08 3.0950339 0.6382704 7.4535510 0.9252589
2024-09-07 3.2387605 0.6679103 7.7996776 0.9327467
2024-09-06 4.3998337 1.1988066 9.6436358 0.9860857
2024-09-05 4.2701782 1.1634798 9.3594546 0.9846485
2024-09-04 3.8949272 1.0612366 8.5369726 0.9793130
2024-09-03 2.5209614 0.5198828 6.0710528 0.8816437
2024-09-02 2.1081170 0.4347444 5.0768291 0.8278952
2024-09-01 1.1698389 0.1416729 3.2589625 0.4902585
2024-08-31 0.9877723 0.1196238 2.7517574 0.3993460
2024-08-30 0.8532379 0.1033311 2.3769685 0.3208310
2024-08-29 0.7544040 0.0913618 2.1016350 0.2576712
2024-08-28 0.6804539 0.0824061 1.8956232 0.2084131
2024-08-27 0.6239013 0.0755573 1.7380778 0.1704676
2024-08-26 0.5807560 0.0703322 1.6178825 0.1419500
2024-08-25 0.5495880 0.0665577 1.5310542 0.1218979
2024-08-24 0.5301700 0.0642060 1.4769590 0.1097521
2024-08-23 0.2611817 0.0066125 0.9634677 0.0217367
2024-08-22 0.2627907 0.0066533 0.9694032 0.0222523
2024-08-21 0.2693608 0.0068196 0.9936393 0.0244166
2024-08-20 0.2801527 0.0070929 1.0334494 0.0281704
2024-08-19 0.5886000 0.0712822 1.6397348 0.1470816
2024-08-18 0.9323801 0.1922792 2.2453851 0.3762486
2024-08-17 0.9853282 0.2031984 2.3728963 0.4132569
2024-08-16 1.0379545 0.2140512 2.4996324 0.4482109
2024-08-15 1.0869727 0.2241599 2.6176795 0.4790527
2024-08-14 1.1295275 0.2329357 2.7201610 0.5044691
2024-08-13 1.5484150 0.4218910 3.3938443 0.7396332
2024-08-12 1.9574549 0.6355803 4.0094895 0.8838011
2024-08-11 1.9325213 0.6274844 3.9584177 0.8792143
2024-08-10 1.8545530 0.6021683 3.7987137 0.8634925
2024-08-09 1.7370354 0.5640107 3.5580004 0.8352543
2024-08-08 1.6067944 0.5217218 3.2912254 0.7961429
2024-08-07 1.4881313 0.4831922 3.0481658 0.7516028
2024-08-06 1.3936687 0.4525204 2.8546764 0.7087978
2024-08-05 1.0601187 0.2888467 2.3235875 0.4789909
2024-08-04 0.7669254 0.1581584 1.8469321 0.2513255
2024-08-03 0.9973863 0.2717542 2.1860895 0.4314249
2024-08-02 0.9804412 0.2671372 2.1489488 0.4180381
2024-08-01 0.9693934 0.2641271 2.1247341 0.4091941
2024-07-31 0.9641184 0.2626898 2.1131723 0.4049400
2024-07-30 0.7250700 0.1495269 1.7461348 0.2186362
2024-07-29 0.4906506 0.0594201 1.3668649 0.0861510
2024-07-28 0.5063452 0.0613208 1.4105875 0.0953203
2024-07-27 0.7994752 0.1648710 1.9253195 0.2766616
2024-07-26 1.1456723 0.3121571 2.5111055 0.5384896
2024-07-25 1.2553485 0.3420402 2.7514958 0.6055561
2024-07-24 1.3969538 0.3806229 3.0618690 0.6778096
2024-07-23 1.9636329 0.6375862 4.0221440 0.8849068
2024-07-22 2.2226871 0.7217005 4.5527694 0.9220389
2024-07-21 2.5304651 0.8216351 5.1831965 0.9494933
2024-07-20 2.3241316 0.6332476 5.0940741 0.9036330
2024-07-19 3.3790402 1.0971652 6.9213480 0.9823630
2024-07-18 4.0014191 1.2992499 8.1961776 0.9908886
2024-07-17 4.8451017 1.5731913 9.9243077 0.9958262
2024-07-16 6.0156406 1.9532621 12.3219434 0.9983344

1.4.12 Quận 11

Figure 1.17: Diễn tiến Rt của Quận 11
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-28 1.1093285 0.8121679 1.4520999 0.7396122
2024-12-27 1.2780515 0.9485944 1.6558588 0.9472318
2024-12-26 1.3292253 0.9833682 1.7263934 0.9680795
2024-12-25 1.4411499 1.0696492 1.8671711 0.9915140
2024-12-24 1.4727466 1.0858870 1.9176399 0.9932462
2024-12-23 1.6707214 1.2439618 2.1594488 0.9995633
2024-12-22 1.9313305 1.4549425 2.4741498 0.9999933
2024-12-21 2.2676200 1.7304329 2.8763135 1.0000000
2024-12-20 2.4071155 1.8324078 3.0590133 1.0000000
2024-12-19 2.4247572 1.8266590 3.1062589 1.0000000
2024-12-18 2.5701302 1.9307609 3.2995382 1.0000000
2024-12-17 2.7191064 2.0367973 3.4984680 1.0000000
2024-12-16 2.5987148 1.9094379 3.3925698 1.0000000
2024-12-15 2.7480357 2.0119075 3.5971513 1.0000000
2024-12-14 2.7248953 1.9638649 3.6086132 1.0000000
2024-12-13 2.8366337 2.0265327 3.7808273 1.0000000
2024-12-12 2.9631649 2.0969118 3.9768500 1.0000000
2024-12-11 3.0118454 2.0978607 4.0885020 1.0000000
2024-12-10 3.5128616 2.4733787 4.7318411 1.0000000
2024-12-09 3.5454224 2.4553081 4.8326473 1.0000000
2024-12-08 3.5227928 2.3935668 4.8667797 1.0000000
2024-12-07 3.0681219 1.9855267 4.3825173 0.9999984
2024-12-06 3.1542885 2.0210121 4.5357739 0.9999984
2024-12-05 3.3547958 2.1494809 4.8240974 0.9999994
2024-12-04 3.2534174 2.0388993 4.7471398 0.9999974
2024-12-03 3.1172505 1.9040976 4.6245741 0.9999866
2024-12-02 3.2780541 2.0023206 4.8631332 0.9999934
2024-12-01 3.2710774 1.9694023 4.8976224 0.9999886
2024-11-30 3.2514896 1.9270388 4.9167304 0.9999794
2024-11-29 2.8363923 1.5875072 4.4417187 0.9995969
2024-11-28 2.5637568 1.3650925 4.1338773 0.9977261
2024-11-27 2.4597271 1.2709769 4.0343703 0.9954771
2024-11-26 2.1289240 1.0209018 3.6372248 0.9778723
2024-11-25 2.4389620 1.2175210 4.0775800 0.9932252
2024-11-24 2.0867261 0.9541841 3.6548287 0.9677884
2024-11-23 2.1852336 0.9992280 3.8273612 0.9748940
2024-11-22 2.0266304 0.8749552 3.6536791 0.9519344
2024-11-21 1.8358702 0.7381150 3.4250713 0.9078958
2024-11-20 2.1542186 0.9300387 3.8836995 0.9641200
2024-11-19 2.1983595 0.9490956 3.9632782 0.9675198
2024-11-18 2.2350713 0.9649451 4.0294634 0.9700814
2024-11-17 1.6997973 0.6237956 3.3056332 0.8536455
2024-11-16 1.4326125 0.4651654 2.9344457 0.7273077
2024-11-15 1.4441464 0.4689104 2.9580707 0.7325524
2024-11-14 2.0269083 0.8149222 3.7814794 0.9382348
2024-11-13 2.0118476 0.8088671 3.7533817 0.9362893
2024-11-12 1.6856893 0.6186183 3.2781970 0.8496673
2024-11-11 1.3493537 0.4381315 2.7639050 0.6861616
2024-11-10 1.0229662 0.2787239 2.2421560 0.4512084
2024-11-09 1.2064924 0.3917448 2.4712798 0.6006803
2024-11-08 1.1450356 0.3717899 2.3453966 0.5575825
2024-11-07 1.1011963 0.3575554 2.2555998 0.5244309
2024-11-06 0.8614303 0.2347108 1.8880987 0.3186762
2024-11-05 0.8567063 0.2334236 1.8777446 0.3145827
2024-11-04 0.8653052 0.2357665 1.8965918 0.3220279
2024-11-03 1.1068941 0.3594055 2.2672709 0.5288527
2024-11-02 1.1443298 0.3715608 2.3439509 0.5570647
2024-11-01 1.1920523 0.3870561 2.4417019 0.5909068
2024-10-31 0.7501355 0.1546960 1.8064982 0.2382092
2024-10-30 0.7936389 0.1636674 1.9112643 0.2721331
2024-10-29 0.8507198 0.1754389 2.0487282 0.3159872
2024-10-28 1.5479322 0.5026094 3.1706569 0.7752292
2024-10-27 1.7278847 0.5610395 3.5392569 0.8327955
2024-10-26 1.5778897 0.4299218 3.4584474 0.7500621
2024-10-25 2.7468228 1.0080356 5.3418068 0.9758280
2024-10-24 3.1991499 1.1740316 6.2214572 0.9875220
2024-10-23 3.6688381 1.3463989 7.1348703 0.9933115
2024-10-22 4.0637062 1.4913086 7.9027790 0.9958670
2024-10-21 4.3010837 1.5784219 8.3644122 0.9968538
2024-10-20 3.6379153 1.1812212 7.4516064 0.9867328
2024-10-19 3.5925523 1.1664919 7.3586885 0.9860692
2024-10-18 3.5105485 1.1398655 7.1907187 0.9847666
2024-10-17 3.4382639 1.1163949 7.0426570 0.9834972
2024-10-16 3.3988431 1.1035951 6.9619106 0.9827522
2024-10-15 4.0750378 1.4954670 7.9248156 0.9959216
2024-10-14 2.7310507 0.7441194 5.9859667 0.9387171
2024-10-13 2.7331881 0.7447018 5.9906515 0.9388557
2024-10-12 2.6839241 0.7312790 5.8826739 0.9355622
2024-10-11 1.2771260 0.1546659 3.5578452 0.5359783
2024-10-10 1.1734088 0.1421052 3.2689077 0.4918692
2024-10-09 1.0470132 0.1267982 2.9167920 0.4308586
2024-10-08 0.9175283 0.1111169 2.5560703 0.3595289
2024-10-07 0.7988321 0.0967423 2.2254037 0.2865482
2024-10-06 0.6974648 0.0844662 1.9430126 0.2198274
2024-10-05 0.6146215 0.0744335 1.7122258 0.1642826
2024-10-04 0.5483688 0.0664100 1.5276577 0.1211265
2024-10-03 0.7429669 0.1532176 1.7892345 0.2326075
2024-10-02 0.6777261 0.1397634 1.6321198 0.1820077
2024-10-01 0.4149198 0.0502487 1.1558926 0.0469406
2024-09-30 0.3828253 0.0463619 1.0664831 0.0335120
2024-09-29 0.3548921 0.0429791 0.9886662 0.0236811
2024-09-28 0.3311552 0.0401044 0.9225394 0.0167739
2024-09-27 0.3117793 0.0377579 0.8685616 0.0121392
2024-09-26 0.2967709 0.0359403 0.8267508 0.0091600
2024-09-25 0.2859668 0.0346319 0.7966526 0.0073346
2024-09-24 0.2791047 0.0338009 0.7775358 0.0063087
2024-09-23 0.4137035 0.0853156 0.9962928 0.0244939
2024-09-22 0.5508780 0.1500957 1.2074246 0.0691279
2024-09-21 0.5541474 0.1509865 1.2145904 0.0710719
2024-09-20 0.6988267 0.2269071 1.4314192 0.1593282
2024-09-19 0.5633272 0.1534877 1.2347109 0.0766662
2024-09-18 0.5654108 0.1540554 1.2392777 0.0779634
2024-09-17 0.8476582 0.3110756 1.6484595 0.2908170
2024-09-16 0.8454554 0.3102672 1.6441756 0.2885207
2024-09-15 0.8448378 0.3100406 1.6429747 0.2878770
2024-09-14 0.8496689 0.3118135 1.6523698 0.2929135
2024-09-13 1.1515215 0.4971452 2.0760025 0.6065612
2024-09-12 1.1864419 0.5122214 2.1389584 0.6369685
2024-09-11 1.2403025 0.5354746 2.2360601 0.6800492
2024-09-10 1.4777942 0.6757416 2.5883055 0.8377895
2024-09-09 1.5800348 0.7224925 2.7673764 0.8769808
2024-09-08 1.5098506 0.6518463 2.7220106 0.8336468
2024-09-07 1.6274909 0.7026351 2.9340966 0.8752993
2024-09-06 1.5380149 0.6183617 2.8693807 0.8244196
2024-09-05 1.9036590 0.8218648 3.4319820 0.9358896
2024-09-04 2.0699291 0.8936485 3.7317395 0.9565079
2024-09-03 1.9778832 0.7952116 3.6900163 0.9316523
2024-09-02 2.1656256 0.8706938 4.0402758 0.9533882
2024-09-01 3.0448140 1.3922828 5.3328866 0.9965418
2024-08-31 3.6760676 1.7628173 6.2804893 0.9994693
2024-08-30 3.1604564 1.3644608 5.6977796 0.9954335
2024-08-29 3.3494171 1.4460406 6.0384444 0.9967555
2024-08-28 3.4986469 1.5104674 6.3074811 0.9975007
2024-08-27 3.1585539 1.2699025 5.8927219 0.9922519
2024-08-26 2.7722856 1.0173799 5.3913248 0.9767517
2024-08-25 2.8360131 1.0407668 5.5152571 0.9788918
2024-08-24 2.9192725 1.0713216 5.6771735 0.9813566
2024-08-23 3.0448608 1.1174103 5.9214079 0.9844765
2024-08-22 2.7000662 0.8767041 5.5305934 0.9597286
2024-08-21 2.9526621 0.9587214 6.0479902 0.9708037
2024-08-20 2.6758623 0.7290824 5.8650039 0.9350029
2024-08-19 3.1663211 0.8627159 6.9400004 0.9604794

1.4.13 Quận 10

Figure 1.18: Diễn tiến Rt của Quận 10
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-27 1.4745507 0.8589801 2.253720 0.9222828
2024-12-26 1.0170378 0.5255183 1.668115 0.4847702
2024-12-25 0.9065528 0.4525479 1.515621 0.3333524
2024-12-24 0.7191790 0.3288545 1.259617 0.1241321
2024-12-23 0.6983378 0.3193245 1.223115 0.1050032
2024-12-22 0.6827221 0.3121840 1.195764 0.0916995
2024-12-21 0.6752959 0.3087883 1.182757 0.0856980
2024-12-20 0.6781285 0.3100835 1.187719 0.0879620
2024-12-19 0.8463154 0.4224776 1.414913 0.2518952
2024-12-18 0.9583995 0.4952190 1.571938 0.4034948
2024-12-17 1.0098066 0.5217818 1.656254 0.4749879
2024-12-16 1.1671706 0.6214692 1.881981 0.6734999
2024-12-15 1.0642770 0.5312832 1.779312 0.5411233
2024-12-14 1.2608269 0.6514877 2.067970 0.7501137
2024-12-13 1.2624875 0.6302292 2.110690 0.7394316
2024-12-12 1.3851475 0.6914607 2.315760 0.8216603
2024-12-11 1.6625940 0.8590866 2.726937 0.9362008
2024-12-10 1.9829395 1.0558318 3.197350 0.9829511
2024-12-09 2.5119954 1.4059448 3.933721 0.9986623
2024-12-08 2.7384083 1.5326663 4.288278 0.9994253
2024-12-07 3.1480283 1.7993702 4.867682 0.9999169
2024-12-06 3.3440263 1.9114000 5.170746 0.9999584
2024-12-05 3.2790184 1.8352417 5.134860 0.9999120
2024-12-04 3.1536204 1.7241136 5.007588 0.9997801
2024-12-03 3.2061928 1.7528554 5.091067 0.9998136
2024-12-02 2.7620321 1.4271823 4.530202 0.9981880
2024-12-01 2.5223385 1.2591423 4.216973 0.9946615
2024-11-30 2.4999724 1.2479772 4.179580 0.9943113
2024-11-29 2.2510916 1.0794859 3.845946 0.9842060
2024-11-28 2.0152380 0.9214952 3.529620 0.9612983
2024-11-27 1.7978637 0.7761899 3.241251 0.9174964
2024-11-26 1.5991226 0.6429302 2.983386 0.8464300
2024-11-25 1.4137085 0.5188061 2.749270 0.7459017
2024-11-24 1.4778634 0.5423498 2.874033 0.7756973
2024-11-23 1.5600200 0.5724999 3.033805 0.8086971
2024-11-22 1.3788889 0.4477215 2.824403 0.7014390
2024-11-21 1.4640194 0.4753631 2.998777 0.7413430
2024-11-20 1.5543562 0.5046952 3.183815 0.7776204
2024-11-19 1.6529093 0.5366952 3.385683 0.8110503
2024-11-18 1.7654517 0.5732374 3.616206 0.8426370
2024-11-17 1.8977438 0.6161922 3.887182 0.8724695
2024-11-16 1.6415109 0.4472565 3.597894 0.7710010
2024-11-15 2.6660256 0.9783844 5.184679 0.9726072
2024-11-14 2.8653905 1.0515478 5.572388 0.9798018
2024-11-13 3.0216956 1.1089090 5.876358 0.9839491
2024-11-12 3.0962174 1.1362572 6.021282 0.9855763
2024-11-11 2.5624163 0.8320096 5.248643 0.9516353
2024-11-10 2.4794336 0.8050654 5.078668 0.9458378
2024-11-09 1.8839666 0.5133175 4.129312 0.8342400
2024-11-08 2.2033693 0.7154280 4.513200 0.9198028
2024-11-07 1.6231794 0.4422618 3.557714 0.7651796
2024-11-06 1.4702131 0.4005836 3.222440 0.7095247
2024-11-05 1.3158217 0.3585171 2.884042 0.6382877
2024-11-04 1.1753502 0.3202434 2.576154 0.5576486
2024-11-03 1.0602839 0.2888917 2.323950 0.4791119
2024-11-02 0.9754159 0.2657680 2.137934 0.4140265
2024-11-01 0.4601999 0.0557323 1.282035 0.0692799
2024-10-31 0.4461625 0.0540324 1.242929 0.0619716
2024-10-30 0.4437014 0.0537343 1.236073 0.0607238
2024-10-29 0.6762212 0.1394531 1.628496 0.1808570
2024-10-28 0.6982717 0.1440004 1.681598 0.1978165
2024-10-27 0.7291254 0.1503632 1.755901 0.2217992
2024-10-26 0.7673119 0.1582382 1.847863 0.2516273
2024-10-25 0.5420401 0.0656436 1.510027 0.1171404
2024-10-24 0.5787359 0.0700876 1.612255 0.1406333
2024-10-23 0.9342850 0.1926720 2.249973 0.3776104
2024-10-22 1.0108778 0.2084673 2.434425 0.4304614
2024-10-21 1.4547100 0.3963595 3.188460 0.7031089
2024-10-20 1.9322285 0.6273893 3.957818 0.8791592
2024-10-19 2.3899703 0.8770770 4.647828 0.9572744
2024-10-18 2.3664428 0.8684428 4.602074 0.9555687
2024-10-17 2.2538828 0.8271353 4.383176 0.9462670
2024-10-16 2.0900924 0.7670271 4.064649 0.9285538
2024-10-15 1.5991463 0.5192384 3.275560 0.7935488
2024-10-14 1.4752754 0.4790179 3.021833 0.7461871
2024-10-13 1.3805518 0.4482614 2.827809 0.7022763
2024-10-12 1.3158022 0.4272374 2.695181 0.6678507
2024-10-11 1.2776061 0.4148352 2.616943 0.6457173
2024-10-10 1.2618465 0.4097181 2.584663 0.6361731
2024-10-09 1.0123297 0.2758258 2.218843 0.4430455
2024-10-08 1.0292618 0.2804392 2.255955 0.4559967
2024-10-07 0.7949205 0.1639317 1.914351 0.2731282
2024-10-06 0.8286492 0.1708874 1.995577 0.2991600
2024-10-05 0.5829664 0.0705999 1.624040 0.1433931
2024-10-04 0.6228203 0.0754264 1.735066 0.1697460
2024-10-03 1.0095548 0.2081945 2.431239 0.4295813
2024-10-02 1.4662362 0.3995000 3.213723 0.7078936
2024-10-01 1.5977692 0.4353383 3.502020 0.7568297
2024-09-30 1.7206118 0.4688088 3.771268 0.7942956
2024-09-29 2.2559348 0.7324959 4.620871 0.9257207
2024-09-28 2.2803948 0.7404380 4.670973 0.9283013
2024-09-27 2.2198463 0.7207781 4.546951 0.9217146
2024-09-26 2.1005102 0.6820300 4.302512 0.9065765
2024-09-25 1.9591123 0.6361184 4.012885 0.8840990
2024-09-24 1.8239976 0.5922471 3.736127 0.8567116
2024-09-23 1.7094903 0.5550669 3.501579 0.8277290
2024-09-22 1.2947516 0.3527762 2.837860 0.6272123
2024-09-21 1.5466608 0.5021966 3.168053 0.7747527
2024-09-20 1.4869046 0.4827939 3.045653 0.7510913
2024-09-19 1.1455190 0.3121154 2.510769 0.5383887
2024-09-18 0.8259401 0.1703287 1.989053 0.2970821
2024-09-17 0.7916577 0.1632588 1.906493 0.2705941
2024-09-16 0.7576311 0.1562418 1.824549 0.2440664
2024-09-15 0.4844128 0.0586646 1.349488 0.0825909
2024-09-14 0.4677743 0.0566496 1.303136 0.0733524
2024-09-13 0.6852634 0.1413178 1.650271 0.1877872
2024-09-12 0.6790538 0.1400372 1.635317 0.1830239
2024-09-11 0.6837044 0.1409963 1.646517 0.1865897
2024-09-10 0.9318420 0.2538956 2.042428 0.3784908
2024-09-09 0.9641446 0.2626969 2.113230 0.4049612
2024-09-08 1.0048462 0.2737868 2.202440 0.4372481
2024-09-07 1.0489492 0.2858033 2.299106 0.4707594
2024-09-06 1.0916119 0.2974275 2.392615 0.5016281
2024-09-05 1.1304128 0.3079994 2.477660 0.5283417
2024-09-04 1.1668613 0.3179304 2.557548 0.5522462
2024-09-03 1.2059929 0.3285925 2.643317 0.5766366
2024-09-02 1.5680696 0.5091479 3.211905 0.7826338
2024-09-01 1.6476047 0.5349728 3.374818 0.8093978
2024-08-31 1.7493538 0.5680104 3.583232 0.8385010
2024-08-30 2.2442315 0.8235934 4.364406 0.9453722
2024-08-29 2.4006874 0.8810100 4.668670 0.9580268
2024-08-28 2.5540871 0.9373049 4.966989 0.9673031
2024-08-27 2.2456861 0.7291682 4.599879 0.9246077
2024-08-26 2.3535556 0.7641931 4.820830 0.9354214
2024-08-25 2.4628530 0.7996817 5.044705 0.9445843
2024-08-24 2.0729502 0.5648092 4.543530 0.8695952
2024-08-23 2.2072595 0.6014039 4.837912 0.8893232
2024-08-22 2.3894084 0.6510334 5.237149 0.9106530
2024-08-21 3.2919298 1.0688807 6.742918 0.9805221
2024-08-20 3.6864241 1.1969719 7.550968 0.9874014
2024-08-19 3.3352026 0.9087305 7.310158 0.9662893
2024-08-18 3.7706914 1.0273865 8.264670 0.9770543
2024-08-17 4.2051391 1.1457589 9.216901 0.9838582
2024-08-16 3.4192101 0.7051233 8.234242 0.9408134
2024-08-15 3.5586145 0.7338719 8.569959 0.9461932
2024-08-14 3.5344730 0.7288933 8.511821 0.9453090
2024-08-13 3.3678111 0.6945236 8.110461 0.9386516
2024-08-12 3.1303459 0.6455526 7.538590 0.9271961
2024-08-11 2.8996827 0.5979843 6.983101 0.9132262
2024-08-10 2.7235259 0.5616565 6.558875 0.9001113
2024-08-09 2.6155599 0.5393913 6.298868 0.8907763
2024-08-08 2.5681684 0.5296181 6.184738 0.8863201
2024-08-07 1.7109054 0.2071986 4.766277 0.6738697
2024-08-06 1.7322373 0.2097820 4.825704 0.6791032
2024-08-05 1.7744598 0.2148953 4.943328 0.6891183
2024-08-04 1.8429600 0.2231910 5.134158 0.7044479
2024-08-03 1.9495057 0.2360942 5.430975 0.7262315
2024-08-02 1.0563065 0.0267434 3.896587 0.3880213
2024-08-01 1.1800443 0.0298761 4.353041 0.4285166
2024-07-31 1.3667644 0.0346035 5.041829 0.4811121
2024-07-30 3.2931362 0.3988141 9.174090 0.8756811
2024-07-29 4.1157612 0.4984378 11.465777 0.9140304
2024-07-28 5.2642886 0.6375298 14.665369 0.9437500
2024-07-27 6.6940270 0.8106777 18.648366 0.9633358
2024-07-26 8.1361886 0.9853302 22.665971 0.9743106
2024-07-25 9.1961311 1.1136941 25.618782 0.9795154
2024-07-24 9.7115009 1.1761078 27.054510 0.9814925
2024-07-23 9.8373128 1.1913442 27.404999 0.9819317
2024-07-22 9.7722257 1.1834619 27.223678 0.9817065
2024-07-21 9.5961966 1.1621439 26.733293 0.9810758
2024-07-20 9.2979957 1.1260304 25.902558 0.9799305
2024-07-19 8.8364024 1.0701293 24.616642 0.9779417
2024-07-18 8.1791428 0.9905321 22.785633 0.9745583
2024-07-17 7.3317062 0.8879036 20.424826 0.9689152
2024-07-16 3.1769387 0.0804331 11.719344 0.7299579
2024-07-15 2.6733282 0.0676828 9.861585 0.6879318
2024-07-14 2.2063648 0.0558603 8.139014 0.6355693
2024-07-13 1.8101974 0.0458302 6.677600 0.5755519
2024-07-12 1.4969155 0.0378986 5.521941 0.5127123
2024-07-11 1.2625269 0.0319644 4.657310 0.4529098
2024-07-10 1.0954684 0.0277349 4.041051 0.4013781
2024-07-09 0.9825667 0.0248764 3.624570 0.3614099
2024-07-08 0.9117288 0.0230830 3.363258 0.3339322
2024-07-07 0.8725352 0.0220907 3.218677 0.3178786
2024-07-06 0.8561306 0.0216754 3.158163 0.3109740
2024-07-05 0.8554567 0.0216583 3.155677 0.3106879
2024-07-04 0.8661188 0.0219282 3.195008 0.3151911
2024-07-03 0.8872300 0.0224627 3.272884 0.3239703
2024-07-02 0.9214802 0.0233299 3.399229 0.3378307
2024-07-01 0.9747535 0.0246786 3.595748 0.3584735
2024-06-30 1.0563081 0.0267434 3.896593 0.3880219
2024-06-29 1.1800488 0.0298762 4.353058 0.4285180
2024-06-28 1.3667777 0.0346038 5.041878 0.4811155

1.4.14 Nhà Bè

Figure 1.19: Diễn tiến Rt của Nhà Bè
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-25 0.8882147 0.5425446 1.317704 0.2693786
2024-12-24 0.7975932 0.4727043 1.206078 0.1413648
2024-12-23 0.8420040 0.5069414 1.260691 0.1984534
2024-12-22 0.9798856 0.6140891 1.429775 0.4338214
2024-12-21 1.0818999 0.6931937 1.555740 0.6225183
2024-12-20 1.0115278 0.6339191 1.475945 0.4929982
2024-12-19 1.0389584 0.6511097 1.515969 0.5425104
2024-12-18 1.0238561 0.6337831 1.505964 0.5138221
2024-12-17 1.2112515 0.7760717 1.741744 0.7997427
2024-12-16 1.3064926 0.8454931 1.866199 0.8871669
2024-12-15 1.2970102 0.8310189 1.865063 0.8752626
2024-12-14 1.1713196 0.7250653 1.722865 0.7364035
2024-12-13 1.3221276 0.8381155 1.914686 0.8865857
2024-12-12 1.3029476 0.8165503 1.901162 0.8678285
2024-12-11 1.4045729 0.8903787 2.034082 0.9293054
2024-12-10 1.5130331 0.9694289 2.175697 0.9661965
2024-12-09 1.6928241 1.1058089 2.402829 0.9918006
2024-12-08 1.6117370 1.0326703 2.317630 0.9819443
2024-12-07 1.6571226 1.0617497 2.382894 0.9865106
2024-12-06 1.7673197 1.1437161 2.524446 0.9943189
2024-12-05 1.5868016 0.9944401 2.315341 0.9736552
2024-12-04 1.5440576 0.9557960 2.271116 0.9625631
2024-12-03 1.5781661 0.9769097 2.321285 0.9691136
2024-12-02 1.4674695 0.8835125 2.197169 0.9322318
2024-12-01 1.5179141 0.9138834 2.272698 0.9475911
2024-11-30 1.5782625 0.9502171 2.363054 0.9615889
2024-11-29 1.6456019 0.9907599 2.463878 0.9729196
2024-11-28 1.6269612 0.9642403 2.460205 0.9662744
2024-11-27 1.6989873 1.0069275 2.569119 0.9764108
2024-11-26 1.7778824 1.0536858 2.688420 0.9840640
2024-11-25 1.5572636 0.8715886 2.438636 0.9342945
2024-11-24 1.6480502 0.9224012 2.580805 0.9551476
2024-11-23 1.6411798 0.8972482 2.606005 0.9473763
2024-11-22 1.6373998 0.8718464 2.640192 0.9390744
2024-11-21 2.3058567 1.3432465 3.524298 0.9983553
2024-11-20 2.4689905 1.4382779 3.773634 0.9991960
2024-11-19 2.1448708 1.1726208 3.405809 0.9926537
2024-11-18 2.0555146 1.0944749 3.314373 0.9868816
2024-11-17 2.3908903 1.3381631 3.744074 0.9978671
2024-11-16 2.0479870 1.0904668 3.302235 0.9865218
2024-11-15 1.6896812 0.8434828 2.824895 0.9325961
2024-11-14 1.7823727 0.9209780 2.923394 0.9578223
2024-11-13 1.7143031 0.8858054 2.811748 0.9466536
2024-11-12 1.5061257 0.7518525 2.518017 0.8785440
2024-11-11 1.5725198 0.8125439 2.579200 0.9128537
2024-11-10 1.3815975 0.6896885 2.309824 0.8196596
2024-11-09 1.2094433 0.5799751 2.066310 0.6828307
2024-11-08 1.1736069 0.5627901 2.005084 0.6502785
2024-11-07 0.6903485 0.2533457 1.342536 0.1357657
2024-11-06 0.6851659 0.2514438 1.332457 0.1312634
2024-11-05 0.6894492 0.2530157 1.340787 0.1349802
2024-11-04 0.9388009 0.4053076 1.692503 0.3828188
2024-11-03 0.7301964 0.2679692 1.420029 0.1721594
2024-11-02 0.8971623 0.3607058 1.673781 0.3381022
2024-11-01 0.9588560 0.3855099 1.788879 0.4059803
2024-10-31 1.0385471 0.4175498 1.937554 0.4890957
2024-10-30 1.1374961 0.4573324 2.122157 0.5816042
2024-10-29 1.4357201 0.6198420 2.588366 0.8004962
2024-10-28 1.5932759 0.6878635 2.872413 0.8644151
2024-10-27 1.9909422 0.9103855 3.487066 0.9587866
2024-10-26 2.2046341 1.0080991 3.861340 0.9760840
2024-10-25 2.6945098 1.2921222 4.603517 0.9950512
2024-10-24 2.9354656 1.4076698 5.015185 0.9972541
2024-10-23 3.1586308 1.5146862 5.396459 0.9983687
2024-10-22 3.6816790 1.8378809 6.155217 0.9997174
2024-10-21 3.4811174 1.6693311 5.947421 0.9992004
2024-10-20 3.5430801 1.6990446 6.053283 0.9992992
2024-10-19 3.1703221 1.4496732 5.552710 0.9973379
2024-10-18 3.0809290 1.4087969 5.396141 0.9967947
2024-10-17 2.6114061 1.1274198 4.707933 0.9866650
2024-10-16 2.1514507 0.8649948 4.013831 0.9520448
2024-10-15 1.7255949 0.6332629 3.355802 0.8606303
2024-10-14 1.6114255 0.5913648 3.133775 0.8267299
2024-10-13 1.2528285 0.4067900 2.566191 0.6306012
2024-10-12 1.1669958 0.3789204 2.390378 0.5734345
2024-10-11 0.8683970 0.2366090 1.903369 0.3246983
2024-10-10 0.8089261 0.2204051 1.773019 0.2728563
2024-10-09 0.7588957 0.2067735 1.663361 0.2290470
2024-10-08 0.7217770 0.1966599 1.582004 0.1969985
2024-10-07 0.5246297 0.1081912 1.263429 0.0757833
2024-10-06 0.5190773 0.1070462 1.250057 0.0725626
2024-10-05 0.5234389 0.1079457 1.260561 0.0750875
2024-10-04 0.5356489 0.1104637 1.289965 0.0823488
2024-10-03 0.7378729 0.2010455 1.617283 0.2108149
2024-10-02 0.7663965 0.2088172 1.679802 0.2355895
2024-10-01 0.9978867 0.3240111 2.043989 0.4386372
2024-09-30 0.8334520 0.2270876 1.826775 0.2943336
2024-09-29 0.8731412 0.2379016 1.913767 0.3287884
2024-09-28 0.9202424 0.2507351 2.017004 0.3688202
2024-09-27 0.9784731 0.2666010 2.144635 0.4164692
2024-09-26 1.5756505 0.5782360 3.064202 0.8143803
2024-09-25 2.2691746 0.9796685 4.090946 0.9722651
2024-09-24 2.1394529 0.8601710 3.991447 0.9508743
2024-09-23 2.2748382 0.9146029 4.244027 0.9624516
2024-09-22 2.3689938 0.9524584 4.419688 0.9687168
2024-09-21 2.4192834 0.9726774 4.513510 0.9715814
2024-09-20 2.4469891 0.9838165 4.565199 0.9730342
2024-09-19 2.1287989 0.7812317 4.139922 0.9332653
2024-09-18 2.1903001 0.8038016 4.259525 0.9400531
2024-09-17 1.9122456 0.6209009 3.916886 0.8753325
2024-09-16 2.4458948 0.8976003 4.756585 0.9610393
2024-09-15 2.6407039 0.9690918 5.135435 0.9714990
2024-09-14 2.8683878 1.0526478 5.578217 0.9798921
2024-09-13 3.1078930 1.1405420 6.043988 0.9858137
2024-09-12 2.7711884 0.8997973 5.676274 0.9632831
2024-09-11 1.7384524 0.3585107 4.186592 0.7504313
2024-09-10 1.7593160 0.3628132 4.236836 0.7558477
2024-09-09 1.7124293 0.3531441 4.123922 0.7434648
2024-09-08 2.1353782 0.5818187 4.680361 0.8792480
2024-09-07 1.9287706 0.5255251 4.227515 0.8435557
2024-09-06 1.6990287 0.4629281 3.723962 0.7882216
2024-09-05 1.4769260 0.4024126 3.237153 0.7122553
2024-09-04 1.2823134 0.3493872 2.810598 0.6205105
2024-09-03 1.1246552 0.3064307 2.465040 0.5244602
2024-09-02 0.7543574 0.1555666 1.816666 0.2415084
2024-09-01 0.6922250 0.1427534 1.667037 0.1931467
2024-08-31 0.6533510 0.1347367 1.573419 0.1635221
2024-08-30 0.6336819 0.1306804 1.526051 0.1488947
2024-08-29 0.4197633 0.0508353 1.169386 0.0491511
2024-08-28 0.4257164 0.0515562 1.185970 0.0519302
2024-08-27 0.4392707 0.0531977 1.223730 0.0585038
2024-08-26 0.6901967 0.1423352 1.662152 0.1915832
2024-08-25 0.4887276 0.0591872 1.361508 0.0850482
2024-08-24 0.5262739 0.0637342 1.466105 0.1073540
2024-08-23 0.5749430 0.0696283 1.601689 0.1381667
2024-08-22 0.6380504 0.0772709 1.777495 0.1799331
2024-08-21 1.4399619 0.3923411 3.156135 0.6968611
2024-08-20 2.0633065 0.6699500 4.226307 0.9011874
2024-08-19 2.3912108 0.7764196 4.897959 0.9387642
2024-08-18 3.3291843 1.2217520 6.474338 0.9895635
2024-08-17 3.8159310 1.4003794 7.420925 0.9944332
2024-08-16 4.2700304 1.5670259 8.304022 0.9967416
2024-08-15 4.6406797 1.7030477 9.024832 0.9978285
2024-08-14 4.9141666 1.8034125 9.556688 0.9983645
2024-08-13 5.1171310 1.8778969 9.951397 0.9986640
2024-08-12 4.4172777 1.4342781 9.047988 0.9938889
2024-08-11 4.6035087 1.4947467 9.429448 0.9948413
2024-08-10 4.8731232 1.5822898 9.981705 0.9959253
2024-08-09 5.2811071 1.7147611 10.817385 0.9970928
2024-08-08 5.8991889 1.9154506 12.083413 0.9981878
2024-08-07 4.0985868 0.8452271 9.870337 0.9618552
2024-08-06 4.9347166 1.0176572 11.883929 0.9760933
2024-08-05 6.1582869 1.2699868 14.830566 0.9865679
2024-08-04 5.2320775 0.6336289 14.575635 0.9431411
2024-08-03 6.5966878 0.7988895 18.377196 0.9623538
2024-08-02 7.8766790 0.9539024 21.943023 0.9727344
2024-08-01 8.6224254 1.0442157 24.020540 0.9769182
2024-07-31 8.6567977 1.0483784 24.116295 0.9770874
2024-07-30 8.1492708 0.9869145 22.702415 0.9743864
2024-07-29 7.3289769 0.8875731 20.417223 0.9688941
2024-07-28 6.3537683 0.7694708 17.700466 0.9597243
2024-07-27 5.3466551 0.6475047 14.894828 0.9452634
2024-07-26 4.4127295 0.5344020 12.293078 0.9236310
2024-07-25 3.6203948 0.4384466 10.085774 0.8935016
2024-07-24 2.9938310 0.3625668 8.340279 0.8552248
2024-07-23 1.2625269 0.0319644 4.657310 0.4529098
2024-07-22 1.0954684 0.0277349 4.041051 0.4013781
2024-07-21 0.9825667 0.0248764 3.624570 0.3614099
2024-07-20 0.9117288 0.0230830 3.363258 0.3339322
2024-07-19 0.8725352 0.0220907 3.218677 0.3178786
2024-07-18 0.8561306 0.0216754 3.158163 0.3109740
2024-07-17 0.8554567 0.0216583 3.155677 0.3106879
2024-07-16 0.8661188 0.0219282 3.195008 0.3151911
2024-07-15 0.8872300 0.0224627 3.272884 0.3239703
2024-07-14 0.9214802 0.0233299 3.399229 0.3378307
2024-07-13 0.9747535 0.0246786 3.595748 0.3584735
2024-07-12 1.0563081 0.0267434 3.896593 0.3880219
2024-07-11 1.1800488 0.0298762 4.353058 0.4285180
2024-07-10 1.3667777 0.0346038 5.041878 0.4811155

1.4.15 Bình Thạnh

Figure 1.20: Diễn tiến Rt của Bình Thạnh
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-28 1.0767222 0.7499765 1.461623 0.6462738
2024-12-27 0.9723960 0.6606959 1.343376 0.4143542
2024-12-26 0.9298484 0.6227341 1.297549 0.3234549
2024-12-25 0.7902058 0.5062998 1.136293 0.1025160
2024-12-24 0.9871716 0.6611243 1.377540 0.4476652
2024-12-23 0.9576324 0.6310858 1.351185 0.3856952
2024-12-22 1.1159699 0.7529402 1.549295 0.7015075
2024-12-21 1.3306293 0.9214994 1.813737 0.9371736
2024-12-20 1.5205228 1.0705884 2.048151 0.9899949
2024-12-19 1.6280176 1.1520821 2.184955 0.9967632
2024-12-18 1.6784187 1.1877490 2.252598 0.9980289
2024-12-17 1.6190624 1.1339714 2.189176 0.9955880
2024-12-16 1.4952520 1.0292627 2.046885 0.9824002
2024-12-15 1.4513984 0.9927554 1.995765 0.9727956
2024-12-14 1.4960152 1.0297880 2.047929 0.9825116
2024-12-13 1.5450123 1.0699659 2.105955 0.9894510
2024-12-12 1.6037164 1.1170472 2.177003 0.9943329
2024-12-11 1.5829820 1.0962610 2.157710 0.9924251
2024-12-10 1.5268096 1.0443366 2.099460 0.9852008
2024-12-09 1.5789270 1.0799849 2.171125 0.9903620
2024-12-08 1.4427051 0.9586671 2.024094 0.9610527
2024-12-07 1.3594176 0.8797434 1.941797 0.9180760
2024-12-06 1.3348144 0.8461578 1.933059 0.8944007
2024-12-05 1.3785722 0.8639439 2.011508 0.9125284
2024-12-04 1.4374405 0.8897983 2.114295 0.9323115
2024-12-03 1.6640427 1.0428467 2.428045 0.9833360
2024-12-02 1.8595070 1.1653431 2.713252 0.9948120
2024-12-01 2.2897732 1.4671009 3.292626 0.9997636
2024-11-30 2.7115863 1.7547957 3.873241 0.9999871
2024-11-29 2.8389957 1.7996798 4.111392 0.9999862
2024-11-28 3.0625675 1.9192947 4.468666 0.9999933
2024-11-27 3.8399780 2.4850313 5.485040 1.0000000
2024-11-26 3.7706157 2.3902469 5.460551 0.9999999
2024-11-25 3.7069678 2.3231370 5.408926 0.9999997
2024-11-24 3.6871120 2.3106935 5.379954 0.9999996
2024-11-23 3.4292554 2.1227632 5.044007 0.9999980
2024-11-22 3.0045045 1.8089080 4.498496 0.9999647
2024-11-21 2.6180314 1.5250998 4.001430 0.9995745
2024-11-20 2.4286819 1.3882016 3.755383 0.9986729
2024-11-19 2.4237156 1.3853629 3.747703 0.9986455
2024-11-18 2.1349196 1.1671804 3.390008 0.9923704
2024-11-17 1.6955040 0.8463895 2.834629 0.9338424
2024-11-16 1.4039069 0.6419556 2.458894 0.8020741
2024-11-15 1.2647253 0.5460186 2.280090 0.6980859
2024-11-14 1.2869580 0.5556171 2.320172 0.7137154
2024-11-13 0.8245782 0.2677383 1.688998 0.2766198
2024-11-12 0.6827090 0.1860152 1.496374 0.1642354
2024-11-11 0.8906940 0.2892059 1.824424 0.3400932
2024-11-10 1.3053379 0.5248135 2.435289 0.7074767
2024-11-09 1.5506433 0.6694577 2.795553 0.8494858
2024-11-08 1.5807924 0.6824739 2.849907 0.8602063
2024-11-07 1.5653414 0.6758033 2.822051 0.8548126
2024-11-06 1.5034990 0.6491041 2.710560 0.8310345
2024-11-05 1.2358064 0.4968583 2.305569 0.6600480
2024-11-04 1.1508749 0.4627114 2.147117 0.5930813
2024-11-03 1.0761029 0.4326492 2.007620 0.5257435
2024-11-02 1.0184873 0.4094847 1.900130 0.4688102
2024-11-01 1.1186331 0.4829464 2.016710 0.5761395
2024-10-31 0.9546086 0.3838022 1.780955 0.4013819
2024-10-30 1.0768025 0.4648869 1.941297 0.5350031
2024-10-29 1.0715368 0.4626135 1.931803 0.5296374
2024-10-28 0.9371327 0.3767760 1.748352 0.3823245
2024-10-27 0.8042611 0.2951497 1.564064 0.2458114
2024-10-26 0.5374925 0.1464486 1.178086 0.0614421
2024-10-25 0.5405019 0.1472686 1.184682 0.0631312
2024-10-24 0.5471884 0.1490904 1.199337 0.0669651
2024-10-23 0.8395379 0.3080956 1.632668 0.2823552
2024-10-22 0.8691867 0.3189762 1.690327 0.3132674
2024-10-21 1.0614529 0.4267591 1.980288 0.5116619
2024-10-20 1.2783241 0.5518896 2.304607 0.7077340
2024-10-19 1.3471837 0.5816183 2.428749 0.7524279
2024-10-18 1.5856742 0.7250712 2.777254 0.8788434
2024-10-17 1.6367034 0.7484050 2.866629 0.8944535
2024-10-16 1.4760976 0.6372742 2.661160 0.8192886
2024-10-15 1.4724250 0.6356886 2.654538 0.8176539
2024-10-14 1.4501601 0.6260762 2.614399 0.8074274
2024-10-13 1.2425405 0.4995657 2.318132 0.6649264
2024-10-12 1.5668702 0.7164728 2.744319 0.8725198
2024-10-11 1.5479501 0.7078213 2.711181 0.8658227
2024-10-10 1.7171539 0.8234420 2.933724 0.9276847
2024-10-09 1.3878078 0.5991569 2.501988 0.7757187
2024-10-08 1.4186291 0.6124634 2.557553 0.7919778
2024-10-07 1.4658218 0.6328378 2.642634 0.8146781
2024-10-06 1.3375862 0.5377790 2.495453 0.7273351
2024-10-05 1.4062507 0.5653857 2.623556 0.7654259
2024-10-04 1.0647504 0.3457215 2.180947 0.4953605
2024-10-03 1.1402907 0.3702493 2.335678 0.5540912
2024-10-02 1.4858064 0.5452647 2.889480 0.7791301
2024-10-01 1.6420429 0.6026008 3.193317 0.8366087
2024-09-30 1.8512416 0.6793730 3.600150 0.8898572
2024-09-29 2.4805202 0.9972978 4.627756 0.9746832
2024-09-28 2.4685657 0.9059201 4.800674 0.9624573
2024-09-27 3.7999514 1.6405493 6.850683 0.9984907
2024-09-26 3.7234110 1.4970043 6.946541 0.9967452
2024-09-25 3.9476034 1.5871413 7.364803 0.9976332
2024-09-24 3.9332094 1.5813542 7.337949 0.9975852
2024-09-23 3.2094274 1.1778033 6.241444 0.9876991
2024-09-22 3.0024271 1.1018378 5.838886 0.9834947
2024-09-21 2.8220945 1.0356589 5.488189 0.9784443
2024-09-20 2.6896183 0.9870425 5.230560 0.9735957
2024-09-19 2.5959568 0.9526704 5.048414 0.9694133
2024-09-18 2.1036799 0.6830591 4.309005 0.9070199
2024-09-17 2.0541425 0.6669745 4.207537 0.8998059
2024-09-16 2.0158410 0.6545381 4.129083 0.8937872
2024-09-15 1.5979717 0.4353935 3.502464 0.7568976
2024-09-14 1.2070271 0.2489180 2.906798 0.5475520
2024-09-13 0.4146180 0.0104972 1.529476 0.0896485
2024-09-12 0.4393889 0.0111244 1.620853 0.1027057
2024-09-11 0.9592135 0.1161652 2.672198 0.3834767
2024-09-10 1.6118138 0.3323948 3.881617 0.7141677
2024-09-09 1.8351819 0.3784586 4.419539 0.7743495
2024-09-08 2.0934450 0.4317187 5.041495 0.8254567
2024-09-07 2.3599201 0.4866723 5.683229 0.8636859
2024-09-06 2.6142256 0.5391162 6.295654 0.8906540
2024-09-05 2.8640997 0.5906462 6.897409 0.9107670
2024-09-04 3.1503151 0.6496707 7.586681 0.9282625
2024-09-03 3.5359823 0.7292046 8.515456 0.9453649
2024-09-02 4.0997336 0.8454636 9.873098 0.9618815

1.4.16 Gò Vấp

Figure 1.21: Diễn tiến Rt của Gò Vấp
Dates Estimate Rt Q1 Q3 Propability
2024-12-28 1.0381679 0.7231220 1.409286 0.5650050
2024-12-27 0.9852912 0.6823428 1.343018 0.4428479
2024-12-26 0.9357064 0.6440973 1.280910 0.3286063
2024-12-25 0.8366730 0.5644998 1.161549 0.1430772
2024-12-24 0.8021943 0.5372421 1.119415 0.0980171
2024-12-23 0.8039914 0.5384457 1.121923 0.1002789
2024-12-22 0.8149211 0.5457655 1.137174 0.1146975
2024-12-21 0.9216576 0.6304131 1.267338 0.2992984
2024-12-20 1.0439974 0.7271824 1.417199 0.5778248
2024-12-19 0.9978335 0.6825174 1.372084 0.4716067
2024-12-18 1.0191060 0.6924331 1.407907 0.5179603
2024-12-17 1.1529131 0.7936123 1.578249 0.7702699
2024-12-16 1.0479791 0.6963745 1.470299 0.5725097
2024-12-15 1.2935402 0.8847805 1.778700 0.9092160
2024-12-14 1.4954673 1.0356545 2.038422 0.9838327
2024-12-13 1.7318339 1.2129551 2.341657 0.9984684
2024-12-12 1.8957443 1.3277560 2.563285 0.9996758
2024-12-11 2.2944160 1.6391644 3.058129 0.9999974
2024-12-10 2.4725716 1.7664414 3.295585 0.9999996
2024-12-09 2.5594239 1.8200006 3.422932 0.9999997
2024-12-08 2.7408098 1.9580747 3.653108 1.0000000
2024-12-07 2.6748255 1.8928657 3.589871 0.9999999
2024-12-06 2.4234330 1.6782978 3.303301 0.9999955
2024-12-05 2.4253229 1.6796066 3.305877 0.9999956
2024-12-04 2.4069791 1.6669030 3.280873 0.9999948
2024-12-03 2.0985760 1.4159004 2.913442 0.9998078
2024-12-02 2.2113921 1.5125906 3.040804 0.9999527
2024-12-01 1.8490954 1.2185655 2.609007 0.9976775
2024-11-30 1.5690235 0.9946263 2.272237 0.9736666
2024-11-29 1.4352760 0.8884585 2.111112 0.9315051
2024-11-28 1.3083017 0.7876831 1.958856 0.8515236
2024-11-27 1.0455866 0.5852069 1.637362 0.5338145
2024-11-26 1.2034156 0.7010340 1.839314 0.7448748
2024-11-25 1.1510123 0.6579030 1.779769 0.6791365
2024-11-24 1.0213043 0.5583565 1.621714 0.4956956
2024-11-23 0.9579237 0.5100540 1.544585 0.4019145
2024-11-22 0.9641246 0.5133557 1.554583 0.4110407
2024-11-21 1.1182573 0.6258801 1.751163 0.6323164
2024-11-20 1.1259384 0.6301792 1.763191 0.6418734
2024-11-19 1.2133659 0.6935435 1.876184 0.7468796
2024-11-18 1.1530227 0.6453381 1.805605 0.6741834
2024-11-17 1.1708428 0.6553118 1.833510 0.6942484
2024-11-16 1.2684761 0.7250437 1.961399 0.7967276
2024-11-15 1.3684358 0.7971643 2.091533 0.8741314
2024-11-14 1.3903922 0.8099547 2.125092 0.8859322
2024-11-13 1.3336119 0.7622744 2.062116 0.8445971
2024-11-12 1.1108094 0.5914592 1.791102 0.6098701
2024-11-11 1.2368559 0.6762006 1.963985 0.7509333
2024-11-10 1.1996300 0.6387525 1.934319 0.7064295
2024-11-09 1.4606948 0.8175398 2.287411 0.9017716
2024-11-08 1.5545752 0.8700839 2.434426 0.9335502
2024-11-07 1.6630454 0.9307939 2.604287 0.9578956
2024-11-06 1.7811564 0.9968997 2.789246 0.9744103
2024-11-05 1.7764962 0.9712270 2.820872 0.9692229
2024-11-04 1.7555759 0.9347702 2.830743 0.9607113
2024-11-03 2.0033696 1.0952608 3.181121 0.9873548
2024-11-02 1.9638782 1.0456824 3.166615 0.9817288
2024-11-01 2.0657110 1.0999041 3.330814 0.9873532
2024-10-31 2.1615294 1.1509233 3.485314 0.9910107
2024-10-30 2.4154073 1.3205257 3.835390 0.9973126
2024-10-29 2.4772807 1.3543524 3.933638 0.9978507
2024-10-28 2.3294528 1.2403355 3.756079 0.9949958
2024-10-27 2.3345128 1.2430297 3.764238 0.9950820
2024-10-26 1.9682225 0.9825296 3.290574 0.9721225
2024-10-25 1.9584803 0.9776663 3.274286 0.9712614
2024-10-24 1.5958639 0.7297306 2.795100 0.8821371
2024-10-23 1.5902888 0.7271813 2.785336 0.8803464
2024-10-22 1.4073525 0.6075949 2.537224 0.7861654
2024-10-21 1.5731707 0.7193538 2.755354 0.8746747
2024-10-20 1.3870062 0.5988108 2.500543 0.7752800
2024-10-19 1.3752987 0.5937564 2.479436 0.7687781
2024-10-18 1.1959139 0.4808194 2.231144 0.6298577
2024-10-17 1.0247818 0.3760768 1.992916 0.4692576
2024-10-16 0.8626632 0.2801044 1.767008 0.3132891
2024-10-15 1.0609233 0.3893402 2.063201 0.5024789
2024-10-14 1.2898360 0.5185810 2.406369 0.6974583
2024-10-13 1.3660717 0.5492317 2.548597 0.7438091
2024-10-12 1.2565332 0.4611255 2.443608 0.6553652
2024-10-11 1.3601186 0.4991396 2.645053 0.7179899
2024-10-10 1.7245019 0.6933392 3.217298 0.8830729
2024-10-09 1.6055558 0.5892107 3.122360 0.8247647
2024-10-08 2.0226701 0.8132183 3.773573 0.9376940
2024-10-07 1.8485240 0.6783757 3.594865 0.8893009
2024-10-06 1.9329073 0.7093429 3.758967 0.9052215
2024-10-05 1.9745341 0.7246192 3.839920 0.9121310
2024-10-04 2.3005922 0.9249574 4.292075 0.9642931
2024-10-03 2.5769247 1.1125332 4.645769 0.9856771
2024-10-02 2.4898415 1.0749368 4.488772 0.9828045
2024-10-01 2.0843010 0.8379971 3.888554 0.9450754
2024-09-30 1.7010592 0.6242588 3.308087 0.8539958
2024-09-29 1.6217514 0.5951542 3.153856 0.8301306
2024-09-28 1.5571368 0.5714417 3.028198 0.8076289
2024-09-27 1.5116996 0.5547671 2.939836 0.7899499
2024-09-26 1.2385341 0.4021486 2.536911 0.6216028
2024-09-25 0.9863546 0.2687484 2.161910 0.4227346
2024-09-24 0.7449600 0.1536287 1.794034 0.2341648
2024-09-23 1.0108803 0.2754309 2.215666 0.4419262
2024-09-22 1.0391189 0.2831249 2.277560 0.4634283
2024-09-21 1.0785731 0.2938749 2.364036 0.4923590
2024-09-20 0.8473291 0.1747396 2.040563 0.3134146
2024-09-19 0.8939727 0.1843587 2.152891 0.3483421
2024-09-18 1.2617531 0.3437853 2.765534 0.6091613
2024-09-17 1.3324117 0.3630373 2.920404 0.6467670
2024-09-16 1.3948918 0.3800611 3.057349 0.6768642
2024-09-15 1.8011836 0.5848394 3.689396 0.8514018
2024-09-14 1.8333530 0.5952847 3.755289 0.8588272
2024-09-13 1.8421569 0.5981433 3.773323 0.8607860
2024-09-12 1.8343340 0.5956033 3.757299 0.8590470
2024-09-11 1.8183091 0.5904000 3.724475 0.8554078
2024-09-10 1.8023467 0.5852171 3.691779 0.8516778
2024-09-09 1.7931711 0.5822378 3.672984 0.8494849
2024-09-08 1.7946002 0.5827018 3.675911 0.8498288
2024-09-07 1.8076929 0.5869530 3.702729 0.8529389
2024-09-06 1.8334232 0.5953075 3.755433 0.8588429
2024-09-05 1.5008001 0.4089175 3.289481 0.7217391
2024-09-04 1.1662161 0.2405018 2.808516 0.5253747
2024-09-03 1.6371300 0.4460628 3.588291 0.7696249
2024-09-02 1.7538123 0.4778548 3.844038 0.8032500
2024-09-01 1.4315658 0.2952233 3.447539 0.6508175
2024-08-31 1.5784269 0.3255096 3.801214 0.7035512
2024-08-30 1.7602999 0.3630162 4.239206 0.7560995
2024-08-29 2.6501089 0.7220655 5.808557 0.9331758
2024-08-28 3.0383610 0.8278511 6.659535 0.9552403
2024-08-27 3.5478734 0.9666761 7.776294 0.9721841
2024-08-26 3.1707561 0.6538861 7.635907 0.9293329
2024-08-25 3.8602244 0.7960711 9.296305 0.9558054
2024-08-24 6.4085978 1.7461272 14.046482 0.9961411
2024-08-23 8.1533018 2.2215003 17.870556 0.9983644
2024-08-22 10.5057896 2.8624741 23.026781 0.9993530
2024-08-21 13.3902885 3.6484030 29.349079 0.9997384
2024-08-20 12.2195104 2.5199568 29.427382 0.9979461
2024-08-19 13.8342340 2.8529516 33.316007 0.9985542
2024-08-18 14.6558900 3.0223969 35.294742 0.9987730
2024-08-17 14.9330752 3.0795591 35.962268 0.9988368
2024-08-16 14.9923848 3.0917902 36.105099 0.9988499
2024-08-15 9.9997299 1.2110137 27.857464 0.9824760
2024-08-14 9.9999956 1.2110459 27.858205 0.9824769
2024-08-13 10.0000000 1.2110464 27.858217 0.9824769
2024-08-12 10.0000000 1.2110464 27.858217 0.9824769
2024-08-11 10.0000000 1.2110464 27.858217 0.9824769
2024-08-10 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-09 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-08 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-07 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-06 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-05 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-04 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-03 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-02 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-08-01 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-07-31 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-07-30 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-07-29 5.0000000 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-07-28 4.9999999 0.1265890 18.444397 0.8187308
2024-07-27 4.9999998 0.1265890 18.444396 0.8187307
2024-07-26 4.9999995 0.1265890 18.444395 0.8187307
2024-07-25 4.9999988 0.1265890 18.444393 0.8187307
2024-07-24 4.9999971 0.1265890 18.444387 0.8187307
2024-07-23 4.9999933 0.1265889 18.444373 0.8187305
2024-07-22 4.9999845 0.1265886 18.444340 0.8187302
2024-07-21 4.9999646 0.1265881 18.444267 0.8187296
2024-07-20 4.9999201 0.1265870 18.444102 0.8187281
2024-07-19 4.9998219 0.1265845 18.443740 0.8187249
2024-07-18 4.9996085 0.1265791 18.442953 0.8187179
2024-07-17 4.9991524 0.1265676 18.441271 0.8187030
2024-07-16 4.9981939 0.1265433 18.437735 0.8186716
2024-07-15 4.9962167 0.1264933 18.430441 0.8186068
2024-07-14 4.9922189 0.1263920 18.415694 0.8184756
2024-07-13 4.9843119 0.1261919 18.386526 0.8182155
2024-07-12 4.9690545 0.1258056 18.330243 0.8177116
2024-07-11 4.9404375 0.1250810 18.224678 0.8167590
2024-07-10 4.8885393 0.1237671 18.033232 0.8150058
2024-07-09 4.7982227 0.1214805 17.700065 0.8118737
2024-07-08 4.6489997 0.1177025 17.149600 0.8064608
2024-07-07 4.4182012 0.1118592 16.298212 0.7974498
2024-07-06 4.0895714 0.1035390 15.085936 0.7830769
2024-07-05 3.6658531 0.0928114 13.522890 0.7612543
2024-07-04 3.1769387 0.0804331 11.719344 0.7299579
2024-07-03 2.6733282 0.0676828 9.861585 0.6879318
2024-07-02 2.2063648 0.0558603 8.139014 0.6355693
2024-07-01 1.8101974 0.0458302 6.677600 0.5755519
2024-06-30 1.4969155 0.0378986 5.521941 0.5127123
2024-06-29 1.2625269 0.0319644 4.657310 0.4529098
2024-06-28 1.0954684 0.0277349 4.041051 0.4013781
2024-06-27 0.9825667 0.0248764 3.624570 0.3614099
2024-06-26 0.9117288 0.0230830 3.363258 0.3339322
2024-06-25 0.8725352 0.0220907 3.218677 0.3178786
2024-06-24 0.8561306 0.0216754 3.158163 0.3109740
2024-06-23 0.8554567 0.0216583 3.155677 0.3106879
2024-06-22 0.8661188 0.0219282 3.195008 0.3151911
2024-06-21 0.8872300 0.0224627 3.272884 0.3239703
2024-06-20 0.9214802 0.0233299 3.399229 0.3378307
2024-06-19 0.9747535 0.0246786 3.595748 0.3584735
2024-06-18 1.0563081 0.0267434 3.896593 0.3880219
2024-06-17 1.1800488 0.0298762 4.353058 0.4285180
2024-06-16 1.3667777 0.0346038 5.041878 0.4811155

1.5 Rt - Hệ số lây nhiễm hiệu quả tại thời điểm

  • Hệ số lây nhiễm hiệu quả tại thời điểm (Rt - Effective reproduction number at time) là số ca thứ phát trung bình do một cá thể nhiễm bệnh có thể lây truyền cho người khác trong suốt thời kì lây nhiễm, tại một thời điểm nhất định, khi quần thể không hoàn toàn cảm nhiễm. (“Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, rt | PLOS computational biology,” n.d.)

  • Rt thể hiện mức độ lây nhiễm trong cộng đồng theo thời gian thực và giúp quan sát tình hình dịch bệnh có chiều hướng tăng, giảm, hoặc ổn định. Đồng thời, có thể dựa vào chỉ số này để đánh giá hiệu quả của các biện pháp kiểm soát đã được thực hiện. Nếu Rt duy trì > 1 thì số ca có thể tăng, dịch bệnh có thể bùng phát trở lại; nếu Rt duy trì < 1 thì số ca có thể giảm, dịch bệnh đang được kiểm soát.

  • Ước lượng Rt rất nhạy với phân phối thời gian thế hệ (generation interval).

  • Ước tính hệ số lây nhiễm Rt có thể không chính xác, do số ca bệnh được báo cáo có thể biến động bởi nhiều yếu tố như mức độ nghiêm trọng của bệnh, tần suất thực hiện xét nghiệm hoặc sự thay đổi trong quy trình báo cáo.

1.6 Phương pháp ước tính Rt

1.6.1 Công thức:

Uớc tính Rt theo phương pháp Cori: (Cori, Ferguson, Fraser, & Cauchemez, 2013a)

\[ R_t^i = \frac{I_t}{\sum_{s = 1}^{t} I_{t - s} w_s} \]

  • It: số ca nhiễm bệnh mới ghi nhận trong ngày t.
  • It-s: số người bị nhiễm bệnh s ngày trước đó.

  • ws: chỉ số lây nhiễm, mô tả mức độ lây nhiễm của một cá thể kể từ s ngày sau khi bị nhiễm bệnh. Mức độ lây nhiễm này phụ thuộc vào khoảng thời gian từ khi cá thể bị nhiễm bệnh, nhưng không phụ thuộc vào thời điểm t cụ thể. Chỉ số này thường được ước lượng dựa trên khoảng thời gian thế hệ (generation interval).

  • It-sws: thể hiện sự điều chỉnh số ca nhiễm s ngày trước bằng mức độ lây nhiễm tại thời điểm hiện tại t (là s ngày sau khi họ bị nhiễm bệnh).

1.6.2 Tiêu chuẩn để ước tính Rt

Tiêu chuẩn theo phương pháp Cori: (Cori et al., 2013a)

  • Tối thiểu sau Sliding Window size.

  • Tối thiểu sau trung bình của Serival Interval.

  • Tối thiểu 12 ca bệnh (ca bệnh ban đầu + 11) được quan sát kể từ khi bắt đầu dịch (trong một Sliding Window): để có được khoảng tin cậy trên là 0,3, sliding window phải bao gồm ít nhất 11 ca mắc mới.

1.7 Phương pháp đánh giá Rt

  • CDC Hoa Kỳ hiện đang sử dụng Rt để đánh giá mức độ lây nhiễm cho các tác nhân như COVID-19 (CDC, 2024), đậu mùa khỉ… Khuyến cáo của CDC sử dụng tỉ lệ phân phối khoảng tin cậy (KTC) của Rt để phân loại tình hình dịch bệnh như sau:
Phân độ Rt (CDC, 2024)

Số ca đang tăng
> 90% KTC của R> 1
Số ca có thể tăng
76 - 90% KTC của R> 1
Số ca ổn định
26 - 75% KTC của R> 1
Số ca có thể giảm
10 - 25% KTC của R> 1
Số ca đang giảm
< 10% KTC của R> 1

1.8 Thời gian thế hệ

  • Khoảng thời gian thế hệ (Generation interval): là khoảng thời gian từ khi ca bệnh đầu tiên bị nhiễm đến khi lây truyền cho các ca bệnh khác do ca đó gây ra. (Cori, Ferguson, Fraser, & Cauchemez, 2013b).

  • Khoảng thời gian nối tiếp (Serial interval): là khoảng thời gian từ khi một ca bệnh khởi phát triệu chứng đến khi các ca bệnh do ca đó lây khởi phát triệu chứng (Gostic et al., 2020).

Hình minh họa từ tác giả (Sender et al., 2022).